Jiangyin Jianghua (China) Price Prediction
| 603078 Stock | 17.58 0.11 0.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Wall Street Target Price 18 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.096 |
Using Jiangyin Jianghua hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics from the perspective of Jiangyin Jianghua response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Jiangyin Jianghua to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Jiangyin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Jiangyin Jianghua after-hype prediction price | CNY 17.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Jiangyin |
Jiangyin Jianghua After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Jiangyin Jianghua at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Jiangyin Jianghua or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Jiangyin Jianghua, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Jiangyin Jianghua Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Jiangyin Jianghua's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Jiangyin Jianghua's historical news coverage. Jiangyin Jianghua's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.03 and 21.11, respectively. We have considered Jiangyin Jianghua's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Jiangyin Jianghua is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Jiangyin Jianghua is based on 3 months time horizon.
Jiangyin Jianghua Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Jiangyin Jianghua is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Jiangyin Jianghua backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Jiangyin Jianghua, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.67 | 3.54 | 0.01 | 0.14 | 4 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
17.58 | 17.57 | 0.06 |
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Jiangyin Jianghua Hype Timeline
Jiangyin Jianghua is presently traded for 17.58on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Jiangyin is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.67%. The volatility of related hype on Jiangyin Jianghua is about 1661.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.72. About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The book value of Jiangyin Jianghua was presently reported as 4.31. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. Jiangyin Jianghua had 1.3:1 split on the 24th of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Jiangyin Jianghua Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Jiangyin Jianghua Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Jiangyin Jianghua's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Jiangyin Jianghua's future price movements. Getting to know how Jiangyin Jianghua's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Jiangyin Jianghua may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 605259 | Lutian Machinery Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0.09 | 3.47 | (3.13) | 14.98 | |
| 001289 | China Longyuan Power | (0.50) | 2 per month | 2.53 | (0.02) | 4.14 | (3.30) | 16.59 | |
| 603201 | Changshu Tongrun Auto | 1.90 | 1 per month | 2.86 | 0.08 | 8.36 | (4.93) | 17.36 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601988 | Bank of China | 0.14 | 3 per month | 1.51 | (0.03) | 2.67 | (2.86) | 7.70 | |
| 600236 | Guangxi Guiguan Electric | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.80 | (2.30) | 13.85 | |
| 605198 | Yantai North Andre | 0.60 | 2 per month | 2.56 | 0.05 | 5.11 | (4.14) | 19.98 | |
| 600025 | Huaneng Lancang River | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 2.34 | (3.79) | 10.45 | |
| 601998 | China Citic Bank | (0.05) | 2 per month | 2.05 | (0.02) | 3.02 | (3.06) | 13.33 | |
| 601298 | Qingdao Port International | 0.13 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.87 | (4.97) | 14.11 |
Jiangyin Jianghua Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Jiangyin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Jiangyin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Jiangyin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Jiangyin Jianghua Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Jiangyin Jianghua stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Jiangyin Jianghua based on analysis of Jiangyin Jianghua hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Jiangyin Jianghua's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Jiangyin Jianghua's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Jiangyin Jianghua
The number of cover stories for Jiangyin Jianghua depends on current market conditions and Jiangyin Jianghua's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Jiangyin Jianghua is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Jiangyin Jianghua's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Jiangyin Jianghua Short Properties
Jiangyin Jianghua's future price predictability will typically decrease when Jiangyin Jianghua's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Jiangyin Jianghua Microelectronics often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Jiangyin Jianghua's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jiangyin Jianghua's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 385.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Jiangyin Stock analysis
When running Jiangyin Jianghua's price analysis, check to measure Jiangyin Jianghua's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Jiangyin Jianghua is operating at the current time. Most of Jiangyin Jianghua's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Jiangyin Jianghua's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Jiangyin Jianghua's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Jiangyin Jianghua to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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