Mengtian Home (China) Price Prediction
| 603216 Stock | 10.28 0.35 3.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Wall Street Target Price 16 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
Using Mengtian Home hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mengtian Home Group from the perspective of Mengtian Home response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mengtian Home to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mengtian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mengtian Home after-hype prediction price | CNY 10.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mengtian |
Mengtian Home After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mengtian Home at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mengtian Home or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mengtian Home, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mengtian Home Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mengtian Home's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mengtian Home's historical news coverage. Mengtian Home's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.15 and 12.41, respectively. We have considered Mengtian Home's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mengtian Home is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mengtian Home Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mengtian Home Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mengtian Home is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mengtian Home backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mengtian Home, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.13 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.28 | 10.28 | 0.00 |
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Mengtian Home Hype Timeline
Mengtian Home Group is presently traded for 10.28on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.04. Mengtian is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mengtian Home is about 1601.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.32. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Mengtian Home Group last dividend was issued on the 16th of July 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Mengtian Home Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mengtian Home Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mengtian Home's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mengtian Home's future price movements. Getting to know how Mengtian Home's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mengtian Home may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 600028 | China Petroleum Chemical | 0.06 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.21 | (3.26) | 10.77 | |
| 601857 | PetroChina Co Ltd | (0.09) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 3.43 | (3.33) | 17.17 | |
| 601668 | China State Construction | 0.02 | 1 per month | 2.48 | 0.01 | 5.25 | (3.97) | 15.78 | |
| 601390 | China Railway Group | (0.06) | 2 per month | 2.41 | 0.01 | 5.32 | (3.87) | 17.45 | |
| 601186 | China Railway Construction | 0.40 | 1 per month | 2.58 | 0.03 | 6.73 | (4.77) | 17.07 | |
| 600941 | China Mobile Limited | 0.71 | 2 per month | 1.18 | (0.08) | 2.05 | (2.04) | 8.38 | |
| 601398 | Industrial and Commercial | 0.04 | 2 per month | 1.58 | (0.06) | 2.83 | (3.06) | 8.14 | |
| 601628 | China Life Insurance | (0.02) | 3 per month | 2.22 | 0.14 | 6.42 | (3.18) | 20.00 | |
| 601318 | Ping An Insurance | 0.26 | 1 per month | 1.83 | 0.11 | 5.83 | (2.83) | 19.77 | |
| 601939 | China Construction Bank | 0.01 | 2 per month | 1.76 | (0.04) | 3.32 | (3.86) | 8.64 |
Mengtian Home Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mengtian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mengtian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mengtian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mengtian Home Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mengtian Home stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mengtian Home Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mengtian Home based on analysis of Mengtian Home hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mengtian Home's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mengtian Home's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Mengtian Home
The number of cover stories for Mengtian Home depends on current market conditions and Mengtian Home's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mengtian Home is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mengtian Home's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mengtian Home Short Properties
Mengtian Home's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mengtian Home's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mengtian Home Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mengtian Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mengtian Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 224 M |
Complementary Tools for Mengtian Stock analysis
When running Mengtian Home's price analysis, check to measure Mengtian Home's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mengtian Home is operating at the current time. Most of Mengtian Home's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mengtian Home's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mengtian Home's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mengtian Home to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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