Sichuan Furong (China) Price Prediction

603327 Stock   12.51  0.24  1.88%   
As of 26th of December 2024, The relative strength index (RSI) of Sichuan Furong's share price is at 53. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sichuan Furong, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

53

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sichuan Furong's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sichuan Furong Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sichuan Furong's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.53)
Wall Street Target Price
14
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.248
Using Sichuan Furong hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sichuan Furong Technology from the perspective of Sichuan Furong response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sichuan Furong to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sichuan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sichuan Furong after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 12.45  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sichuan Furong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.9210.8214.72
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.1912.0915.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.5013.2617.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sichuan Furong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sichuan Furong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sichuan Furong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sichuan Furong Technology.

Sichuan Furong After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sichuan Furong at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sichuan Furong or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sichuan Furong, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sichuan Furong Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sichuan Furong's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sichuan Furong's historical news coverage. Sichuan Furong's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.55 and 16.35, respectively. We have considered Sichuan Furong's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.51
12.45
After-hype Price
16.35
Upside
Sichuan Furong is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sichuan Furong Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sichuan Furong Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sichuan Furong is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sichuan Furong backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sichuan Furong, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
3.90
  0.06 
  0.15 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.51
12.45
0.48 
812.50  
Notes

Sichuan Furong Hype Timeline

Sichuan Furong Technology is presently traded for 12.51on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Sichuan is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.45. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.48%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Sichuan Furong is about 310.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.36. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company last dividend was issued on the 26th of June 2024. Sichuan Furong Technology had 1.1:1 split on the 26th of June 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Sichuan Furong Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sichuan Furong Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sichuan Furong's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sichuan Furong's future price movements. Getting to know how Sichuan Furong's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sichuan Furong may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601988Bank of China 0.02 3 per month 0.93  0.16  2.67 (1.98) 7.70 
600519Kweichow Moutai Co(13.91)2 per month 1.57  0.11  6.55 (2.41) 16.71 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)2 per month 1.80  0.09  3.55 (2.01) 17.17 
601328Bank of Communications(0.03)2 per month 1.23  0.12  3.26 (2.12) 10.82 
600941China Mobile Limited 0.71 2 per month 0.94  0.12  3.09 (2.04) 8.38 
601318Ping An Insurance 0.49 2 per month 1.95  0.11  5.83 (2.88) 19.77 
600000Shanghai Pudong Development 0.00 0 per month 1.27  0.16  3.69 (2.14) 10.95 
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.04)2 per month 1.00  0.18  2.83 (1.71) 8.14 
600016China Minsheng Banking 0.22 2 per month 1.54  0.14  3.39 (2.31) 12.81 
600028China Petroleum Chemical 0.05 2 per month 1.57  0.03  2.51 (1.89) 10.77 

Sichuan Furong Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sichuan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sichuan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sichuan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sichuan Furong Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sichuan Furong stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sichuan Furong Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sichuan Furong based on analysis of Sichuan Furong hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sichuan Furong's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sichuan Furong's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Sichuan Furong

The number of cover stories for Sichuan Furong depends on current market conditions and Sichuan Furong's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sichuan Furong is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sichuan Furong's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Sichuan Furong Short Properties

Sichuan Furong's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sichuan Furong's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sichuan Furong Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sichuan Furong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sichuan Furong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding745.5 M

Complementary Tools for Sichuan Stock analysis

When running Sichuan Furong's price analysis, check to measure Sichuan Furong's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sichuan Furong is operating at the current time. Most of Sichuan Furong's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sichuan Furong's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sichuan Furong's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sichuan Furong to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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