Hygon Information (China) Price Prediction

688041 Stock   118.26  5.64  4.55%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Hygon Information's the stock price is about 67. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 26th of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Hygon, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

67

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Hygon Information's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hygon Information Technology, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Hygon Information's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.923
Wall Street Target Price
119.65
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.783
Using Hygon Information hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Hygon Information Technology from the perspective of Hygon Information response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Hygon Information to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Hygon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Hygon Information after-hype prediction price

    
  CNY 118.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Hygon Information Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.4787.51130.09
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
122.46127.50132.54
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hygon Information. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hygon Information's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hygon Information's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hygon Information.

Hygon Information After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Hygon Information at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Hygon Information or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Hygon Information, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Hygon Information Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Hygon Information's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Hygon Information's historical news coverage. Hygon Information's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 113.91 and 123.99, respectively. We have considered Hygon Information's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
118.26
113.91
Downside
118.95
After-hype Price
123.99
Upside
Hygon Information is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hygon Information is based on 3 months time horizon.

Hygon Information Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Hygon Information is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Hygon Information backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Hygon Information, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.93 
5.15
  0.65 
  0.14 
1 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
118.26
118.95
0.58 
735.71  
Notes

Hygon Information Hype Timeline

Hygon Information is presently traded for 118.26on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.65, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.14. Hygon is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 118.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.58%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.93%. The volatility of related hype on Hygon Information is about 3344.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 118.40. The company reported the revenue of 6.01 B. Net Income was 1.26 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.66 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check out Hygon Information Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hygon Information Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Hygon Information's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Hygon Information's future price movements. Getting to know how Hygon Information's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Hygon Information may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
601288Agricultural Bank of(0.15)1 per month 1.97 (0.06) 3.21 (3.89) 8.24 
601398Industrial and Commercial(0.04)3 per month 1.58 (0.06) 2.83 (3.06) 8.14 
601988Bank of China 0.14 3 per month 1.51 (0.03) 2.67 (2.86) 7.70 
601939China Construction Bank 0.01 2 per month 1.76 (0.04) 3.32 (3.86) 8.64 
600036China Merchants Bank 1.26 1 per month 1.72  0.04  4.65 (2.56) 13.83 
601857PetroChina Co Ltd(0.09)2 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.43 (3.33) 17.17 
601166Industrial Bank Co 0.18 1 per month 1.60  0.01  3.84 (2.56) 12.07 
600000Shanghai Pudong Development(0.01)1 per month 1.52  0.02  3.69 (2.94) 10.95 
601628China Life Insurance(0.02)3 per month 2.22  0.14  6.42 (3.18) 20.00 
601318Ping An Insurance 0.26 1 per month 1.83  0.11  5.83 (2.83) 19.77 

Hygon Information Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Hygon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Hygon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Hygon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Hygon Information Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Hygon Information stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Hygon Information Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Hygon Information based on analysis of Hygon Information hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Hygon Information's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Hygon Information's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Hygon Information

The number of cover stories for Hygon Information depends on current market conditions and Hygon Information's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Hygon Information is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Hygon Information's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Hygon Information Short Properties

Hygon Information's future price predictability will typically decrease when Hygon Information's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Hygon Information Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Hygon Information's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hygon Information's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.3 B
Dividends Paid119.4 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.11
Shares Float773.5 M

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When running Hygon Information's price analysis, check to measure Hygon Information's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Hygon Information is operating at the current time. Most of Hygon Information's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Hygon Information's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Hygon Information's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Hygon Information to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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