Road Environment (China) Price Prediction
| 688156 Stock | 12.62 0.78 5.82% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.5 | Wall Street Target Price 17.65 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) |
Using Road Environment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Road Environment Technology from the perspective of Road Environment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Road Environment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Road because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Road Environment after-hype prediction price | CNY 12.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Road |
Road Environment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Road Environment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Road Environment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Road Environment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Road Environment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Road Environment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Road Environment's historical news coverage. Road Environment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.96 and 16.14, respectively. We have considered Road Environment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Road Environment is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Road Environment Tec is based on 3 months time horizon.
Road Environment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Road Environment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Road Environment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Road Environment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 3.59 | 0.07 | 1.42 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.62 | 12.55 | 0.55 |
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Road Environment Hype Timeline
Road Environment Tec is presently traded for 12.62on Shanghai Stock Exchange of China. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.42. Road is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.55%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Road Environment is about 91.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.04. About 41.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Road Environment Tec recorded a loss per share of 0.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of July 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Road Environment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Road Environment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Road Environment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Road Environment's future price movements. Getting to know how Road Environment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Road Environment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 688256 | Cambricon Technologies Corp | 33.16 | 1 per month | 3.80 | 0.19 | 12.34 | (6.54) | 29.45 | |
| 688047 | Loongson Technology Corp | (3.00) | 1 per month | 3.11 | 0.12 | 9.07 | (5.65) | 28.95 | |
| 600106 | Chongqing Road Bridge | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.25 | 0.20 | 8.78 | (6.20) | 19.33 | |
| 688318 | Shenzhen Fortune Trend | 12.18 | 3 per month | 4.42 | 0.16 | 16.97 | (7.91) | 37.36 | |
| 600769 | Wuhan Xianglong Power | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.39 | 0.23 | 9.99 | (6.38) | 19.99 | |
| 002693 | Hainan Shuangcheng Pharmaceut | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.07 | 0.38 | 10.02 | (10.00) | 20.06 | |
| 301269 | Empyrean Technology Co | (8.10) | 2 per month | 3.39 | 0.13 | 13.01 | (7.25) | 31.30 | |
| 002625 | Kuang Chi Technologies | 1.21 | 1 per month | 3.20 | 0.28 | 10.00 | (6.05) | 20.00 | |
| 301259 | Hunan Airbluer Environmental | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.37 | 0.26 | 7.25 | (5.05) | 28.39 |
Road Environment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Road price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Road using various technical indicators. When you analyze Road charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Road Environment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Road Environment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Road Environment Technology, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Road Environment based on analysis of Road Environment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Road Environment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Road Environment's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Road Environment
The number of cover stories for Road Environment depends on current market conditions and Road Environment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Road Environment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Road Environment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Road Environment Short Properties
Road Environment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Road Environment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Road Environment Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Road Environment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Road Environment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.7 M |
Complementary Tools for Road Stock analysis
When running Road Environment's price analysis, check to measure Road Environment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Road Environment is operating at the current time. Most of Road Environment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Road Environment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Road Environment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Road Environment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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