Associated Capital Group Stock Price Prediction

AC Stock  USD 36.21  0.05  0.14%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Associated Capital's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Associated Capital, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Associated Capital's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Associated Capital Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Associated Capital's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.07)
Wall Street Target Price
10.87
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.098
Using Associated Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Associated Capital Group from the perspective of Associated Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Associated Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Associated because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Associated Capital after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Associated Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Associated Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.7430.2739.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.3736.9038.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
34.2035.3836.56
Details

Associated Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Associated Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Associated Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Associated Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Associated Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Associated Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Associated Capital's historical news coverage. Associated Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.73 and 37.79, respectively. We have considered Associated Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.21
36.26
After-hype Price
37.79
Upside
Associated Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Associated Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Associated Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Associated Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Associated Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Associated Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.53
  0.05 
  0.01 
7 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.21
36.26
0.14 
151.49  
Notes

Associated Capital Hype Timeline

As of January 31, 2025 Associated Capital is listed for 36.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Associated is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 36.26 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 151.49%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Associated Capital is about 855.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.22. The company generated the yearly revenue of 12.68 M. Reported Net Income was 37.45 M with gross Loss of (3.65 M). Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Associated Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Associated Capital Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Associated Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Associated Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Associated Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Associated Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AEFAbrdn Emerging Markets(0.10)7 per month 1.07 (0.07) 1.56 (2.25) 6.12 
KTFDWS Municipal Income 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.19) 0.97 (0.94) 2.84 
MUIBlackrock Muni Intermediate 0.03 1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 0.72 (1.19) 3.94 
MYDBlackrock Muniyield 0.05 5 per month 0.00 (0.21) 1.01 (1.09) 3.23 
BBUCBrookfield Business Corp 0.35 3 per month 1.96 (0.05) 2.87 (3.44) 10.06 
BCATBlackRock Capital Allocation 0.05 11 per month 0.78 (0.09) 1.54 (1.59) 4.27 
ASXSFElysee Development Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 9.52 (11.54) 33.04 
MVTBlackrock Munivest 0.09 1 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.18 (1.14) 2.90 
SEICSEI Investments 1.13 11 per month 1.26  0.10  1.63 (1.69) 9.37 

Associated Capital Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Associated price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Associated using various technical indicators. When you analyze Associated charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Associated Capital Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Associated Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Associated Capital Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Associated Capital based on analysis of Associated Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Associated Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Associated Capital's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.004760.005590.0050310.004346
Price To Sales Ratio60.7361.355.1730.31

Story Coverage note for Associated Capital

The number of cover stories for Associated Capital depends on current market conditions and Associated Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Associated Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Associated Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Associated Capital Short Properties

Associated Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Associated Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Associated Capital Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Associated Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Associated Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments406.6 M

Complementary Tools for Associated Stock analysis

When running Associated Capital's price analysis, check to measure Associated Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Associated Capital is operating at the current time. Most of Associated Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Associated Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Associated Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Associated Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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