Aurora Cannabis Stock Price Patterns
| ACB Stock | USD 4.18 0.14 3.24% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.92) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.05) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.91) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.07 | Wall Street Target Price 6.4594 |
Using Aurora Cannabis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aurora Cannabis from the perspective of Aurora Cannabis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aurora Cannabis using Aurora Cannabis' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aurora using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aurora Cannabis' stock price.
Aurora Cannabis Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Aurora Cannabis' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Aurora. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Aurora Cannabis stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 4.847 | Short Percent 0.2042 | Short Ratio 3.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.2 M | 50 Day MA 4.494 |
Aurora Cannabis Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aurora Cannabis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aurora. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aurora can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aurora Cannabis. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aurora Cannabis' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aurora Cannabis.
Aurora Cannabis Implied Volatility | 1.31 |
Aurora Cannabis' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aurora Cannabis stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aurora Cannabis' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aurora Cannabis stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aurora Cannabis' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aurora Cannabis to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aurora because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aurora Cannabis after-hype prediction price | USD 4.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aurora contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aurora Cannabis will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0819% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Aurora Cannabis trading at USD 4.18, that is roughly USD 0.003422 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aurora Cannabis' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aurora Cannabis options at the current volatility level of 1.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Aurora Cannabis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aurora Cannabis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aurora Cannabis After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aurora Cannabis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aurora Cannabis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aurora Cannabis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aurora Cannabis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aurora Cannabis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aurora Cannabis' historical news coverage. Aurora Cannabis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.45 and 7.91, respectively. We have considered Aurora Cannabis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aurora Cannabis is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aurora Cannabis is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aurora Cannabis Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aurora Cannabis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aurora Cannabis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aurora Cannabis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 3.76 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.18 | 4.18 | 0.00 |
|
Aurora Cannabis Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Aurora Cannabis is traded for 4.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.11. Aurora is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aurora Cannabis is about 649.4%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.29. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.62. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aurora Cannabis recorded a loss per share of 0.74. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of May 2020. The firm had 1:10 split on the 20th of February 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Aurora Cannabis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aurora Cannabis Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aurora Cannabis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aurora Cannabis' future price movements. Getting to know how Aurora Cannabis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aurora Cannabis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TKNO | Alpha Teknova | (0.27) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 4.75 | (6.50) | 19.09 | |
| CGC | Canopy Growth Corp | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 8.55 | (9.16) | 66.41 | |
| LFCR | Lifecore Biomedical | 2.85 | 14 per month | 2.04 | 0.12 | 6.17 | (4.01) | 15.24 | |
| BIOA | BioAge Labs | 2.85 | 10 per month | 2.63 | 0.24 | 13.88 | (6.06) | 33.50 | |
| IRWD | Ironwood Pharmaceuticals | 0.08 | 7 per month | 3.06 | 0.23 | 23.32 | (6.70) | 41.10 | |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings | 0.16 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.65 | (4.73) | 26.45 | |
| HITI | High Tide | (0.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.78 | (4.20) | 17.53 | |
| LFMD | LifeMD Inc | (0.24) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 8.13 | (7.02) | 28.11 | |
| ACRS | Aclaris Therapeutics | 0.11 | 9 per month | 4.57 | 0.10 | 8.84 | (7.99) | 84.20 | |
| EDIT | Editas Medicine | 0.23 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 6.56 | (9.13) | 21.57 |
Aurora Cannabis Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aurora price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aurora using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aurora charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aurora Cannabis Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aurora Cannabis stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aurora Cannabis, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aurora Cannabis based on analysis of Aurora Cannabis hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aurora Cannabis's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aurora Cannabis's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 61.43 | 44.9 | 51.63 | 49.05 | PTB Ratio | 0.53 | 0.61 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| VTI | Vanguard Total Stock | |
| RIOT | Riot Blockchain | |
| TSLA | Tesla Inc |
Complementary Tools for Aurora Stock analysis
When running Aurora Cannabis' price analysis, check to measure Aurora Cannabis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aurora Cannabis is operating at the current time. Most of Aurora Cannabis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aurora Cannabis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aurora Cannabis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aurora Cannabis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets |