Agree Realty Stock Price Prediction
| ADC Stock | USD 77.11 0.01 0.01% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.032 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.43 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7862 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8044 | Wall Street Target Price 79.25 |
Using Agree Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Agree Realty from the perspective of Agree Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Agree Realty Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Agree Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Agree. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Agree can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Agree Realty. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Agree Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Agree Realty.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Agree Realty to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Agree because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Agree Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 77.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Agree |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Agree Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Agree Realty After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Agree Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Agree Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Agree Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Agree Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Agree Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Agree Realty's historical news coverage. Agree Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.35 and 78.25, respectively. We have considered Agree Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Agree Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agree Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Agree Realty Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Agree Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Agree Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Agree Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.95 | 0.18 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
77.11 | 77.30 | 0.23 |
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Agree Realty Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Agree Realty is traded for 77.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.18, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Agree is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 77.3 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 57.58%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.23%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Agree Realty is about 801.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.12. The company reported the last year's revenue of 537.5 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 170.55 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 377.53 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Agree Realty Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Agree Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Agree Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Agree Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Agree Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Agree Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FRT | Federal Realty Investment | (0.17) | 9 per month | 0.88 | (0.09) | 1.48 | (1.36) | 4.75 | |
| ADC | Agree Realty | 1.65 | 10 per month | 0.75 | (0) | 1.72 | (1.38) | 4.27 | |
| NNN | National Retail Properties | (0.35) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.54 | (2.03) | 6.53 | |
| SKT | Tanger Factory Outlet | (0.19) | 10 per month | 0.31 | 0.25 | 2.11 | (1.39) | 5.77 | |
| NTST | Netstreit Corp | (0.45) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 1.82 | (1.93) | 7.23 | |
| GTY | Getty Realty | 0.37 | 8 per month | 0.55 | 0.01 | 1.66 | (1.23) | 3.93 | |
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | (0.03) | 8 per month | 1.15 | 0.08 | 2.60 | (2.81) | 48.55 |
Agree Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Agree price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Agree using various technical indicators. When you analyze Agree charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Agree Realty Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Agree Realty stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Agree Realty, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Agree Realty based on analysis of Agree Realty hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Agree Realty's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Agree Realty's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0411 | 0.0408 | 0.0476 | 0.0847 | Price To Sales Ratio | 13.11 | 12.05 | 11.15 | 5.96 |
Story Coverage note for Agree Realty
The number of cover stories for Agree Realty depends on current market conditions and Agree Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Agree Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Agree Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Agree Realty Short Properties
Agree Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Agree Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Agree Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Agree Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Agree Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.9 M |
Complementary Tools for Agree Stock analysis
When running Agree Realty's price analysis, check to measure Agree Realty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Agree Realty is operating at the current time. Most of Agree Realty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Agree Realty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Agree Realty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Agree Realty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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