Australian Foundation (Australia) Price Prediction
| AFI Stock | 7.48 0.03 0.40% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Wall Street Target Price 6.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.003 |
Using Australian Foundation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Australian Foundation Investment from the perspective of Australian Foundation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Australian Foundation to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Australian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Australian Foundation after-hype prediction price | AUD 7.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Australian |
Australian Foundation After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Australian Foundation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Australian Foundation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Australian Foundation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Australian Foundation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Australian Foundation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Australian Foundation's historical news coverage. Australian Foundation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.08 and 7.88, respectively. We have considered Australian Foundation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Australian Foundation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Australian Foundation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Australian Foundation Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Australian Foundation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Australian Foundation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Australian Foundation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.48 | 7.48 | 0.00 |
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Australian Foundation Hype Timeline
Australian Foundation is presently traded for 7.48on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Australian is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Australian Foundation is about 4000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.48. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.14. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Australian Foundation last dividend was issued on the 14th of August 2024. The entity had 1.1:1 split on the 15th of August 1996. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Australian Foundation Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Australian Foundation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Australian Foundation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Australian Foundation's future price movements. Getting to know how Australian Foundation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Australian Foundation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FSI | Flagship Investments | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.91 | (0.06) | 2.44 | (2.11) | 7.61 | |
| KME | Kip McGrath Education | 0.00 | 1 per month | 2.08 | 0.02 | 4.55 | (4.65) | 15.15 | |
| AOF | Australian Unity Office | (0.05) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.77 | (1.72) | 7.14 | |
| DUI | Diversified United Investment | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.62 | (0.20) | 0.96 | (0.96) | 3.06 | |
| SNC | Sandon Capital Investments | 0.01 | 1 per month | 1.04 | 0.02 | 2.67 | (2.53) | 5.41 | |
| ARG | Argo Investments | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.41 | (0.21) | 0.80 | (0.78) | 1.80 | |
| PAI | Platinum Asia Investments | 0.01 | 3 per month | 1.00 | (0.05) | 2.06 | (1.87) | 6.88 | |
| LHM | Land Homes Group | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Australian Foundation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Australian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Australian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Australian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Australian Foundation Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Australian Foundation stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Australian Foundation Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Australian Foundation based on analysis of Australian Foundation hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Australian Foundation's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Australian Foundation's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Australian Foundation
The number of cover stories for Australian Foundation depends on current market conditions and Australian Foundation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Australian Foundation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Australian Foundation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Australian Foundation Short Properties
Australian Foundation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Australian Foundation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Australian Foundation Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Australian Foundation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Australian Foundation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 236.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 171.9 M |
Additional Tools for Australian Stock Analysis
When running Australian Foundation's price analysis, check to measure Australian Foundation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Australian Foundation is operating at the current time. Most of Australian Foundation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Australian Foundation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Australian Foundation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Australian Foundation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.