Arendals Fossekompani (Norway) Price Prediction
| AFK Stock | NOK 146.20 3.80 2.53% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Arendals Fossekompani hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Arendals Fossekompani ASA from the perspective of Arendals Fossekompani response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Arendals Fossekompani to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Arendals because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Arendals Fossekompani after-hype prediction price | NOK 146.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Arendals |
Arendals Fossekompani After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Arendals Fossekompani at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Arendals Fossekompani or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Arendals Fossekompani, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Arendals Fossekompani Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Arendals Fossekompani's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Arendals Fossekompani's historical news coverage. Arendals Fossekompani's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 144.37 and 148.03, respectively. We have considered Arendals Fossekompani's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Arendals Fossekompani is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Arendals Fossekompani ASA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Arendals Fossekompani Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Arendals Fossekompani is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Arendals Fossekompani backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Arendals Fossekompani, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
146.20 | 146.20 | 0.00 |
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Arendals Fossekompani Hype Timeline
Arendals Fossekompani ASA is presently traded for 146.20on Oslo Stock Exchange of Norway. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Arendals is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Arendals Fossekompani is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 146.20. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Arendals Fossekompani was presently reported as 60.26. The company last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2023. Arendals Fossekompani ASA had 25:1 split on the 20th of November 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Arendals Fossekompani Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Arendals Fossekompani Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Arendals Fossekompani's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Arendals Fossekompani's future price movements. Getting to know how Arendals Fossekompani's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Arendals Fossekompani may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFG | AF Gruppen ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | (0.05) | 2.10 | (1.77) | 5.41 | |
| AKER | Aker ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.41 | (0.07) | 2.01 | (2.70) | 6.78 | |
| KIT | Kitron ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.29 | (3.11) | 8.18 | |
| KOG | Kongsberg Gruppen ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.99 | 0.06 | 3.16 | (3.05) | 10.92 | |
| VEI | Veidekke ASA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.61 | 0.02 | 1.62 | (1.28) | 6.33 |
Arendals Fossekompani Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Arendals price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Arendals using various technical indicators. When you analyze Arendals charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About Arendals Fossekompani Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Arendals Fossekompani stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Arendals Fossekompani ASA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Arendals Fossekompani based on analysis of Arendals Fossekompani hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Arendals Fossekompani's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Arendals Fossekompani's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Arendals Fossekompani
The number of cover stories for Arendals Fossekompani depends on current market conditions and Arendals Fossekompani's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Arendals Fossekompani is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Arendals Fossekompani's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Arendals Fossekompani Short Properties
Arendals Fossekompani's future price predictability will typically decrease when Arendals Fossekompani's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Arendals Fossekompani ASA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Arendals Fossekompani's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arendals Fossekompani's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 54.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 B |
Other Information on Investing in Arendals Stock
Arendals Fossekompani financial ratios help investors to determine whether Arendals Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Arendals with respect to the benefits of owning Arendals Fossekompani security.