Albany International Stock Price Patterns
| AIN Stock | USD 55.49 0.58 1.03% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9028 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.6685 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.9678 | Wall Street Target Price 55.25 |
Using Albany International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Albany International from the perspective of Albany International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Albany International using Albany International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Albany using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Albany International's stock price.
Albany International Short Interest
An investor who is long Albany International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Albany International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Albany International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 59.8727 | Short Percent 0.0413 | Short Ratio 2.68 | Shares Short Prior Month 913.4 K | 50 Day MA 51.66 |
Albany International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Albany International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Albany. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Albany can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Albany International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Albany International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Albany International.
Albany International Implied Volatility | 1.12 |
Albany International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Albany International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Albany International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Albany International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Albany International's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Albany International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Albany because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Albany International after-hype prediction price | USD 56.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Albany contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Albany International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.07% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Albany International trading at USD 55.49, that is roughly USD 0.0388 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Albany International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Albany International options at the current volatility level of 1.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Albany International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Albany International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Albany International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Albany International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Albany International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Albany International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Albany International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Albany International's historical news coverage. Albany International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.50 and 58.64, respectively. We have considered Albany International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Albany International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Albany International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Albany International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Albany International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Albany International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Albany International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.58 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
55.49 | 56.07 | 0.00 |
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Albany International Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Albany International is traded for 55.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Albany is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Albany International is about 8930.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.49. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Albany International was presently reported as 25.79. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.0. Albany International recorded a loss per share of 1.81. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2025. The firm had 102:100 split on the 8th of December 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Albany International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Albany International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Albany International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Albany International's future price movements. Getting to know how Albany International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Albany International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UAA | Under Armour A | 0.05 | 11 per month | 2.23 | 0.12 | 4.98 | (4.11) | 13.53 | |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corp | 0.40 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.18 | (3.51) | 12.97 | |
| GOOS | Canada Goose Holdings | 0.24 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.53 | (4.15) | 16.96 | |
| MCRI | Monarch Casino Resort | (1.89) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.59 | (1.70) | 5.01 | |
| PSNY | Polestar Automotive Holding | (0.05) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.04 | (14.88) | 34.99 | |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide | 0.80 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.02 | (6.28) | 24.27 | |
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | 0.13 | 18 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 4.41 | (4.96) | 11.95 | |
| MODG | MODG Old | (0.01) | 14 per month | 2.56 | 0.20 | 8.81 | (3.96) | 23.39 | |
| TRIP | TripAdvisor | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.23 | (5.08) | 15.83 |
Albany International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Albany price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Albany using various technical indicators. When you analyze Albany charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Albany International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Albany International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Albany International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Albany International based on analysis of Albany International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Albany International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Albany International's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0102 | 0.013 | 0.015 | 0.0166 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.67 | 2.03 | 1.83 | 1.02 |
Pair Trading with Albany International
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Albany International position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Albany International will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Albany Stock
| 0.73 | CR | Crane Company Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | HY | Hyster Yale Materials | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | PL | Planet Labs PBC Downward Rally | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | 301053 | Yoantion Industrial | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Albany International could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Albany International when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Albany International - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Albany International to buy it.
The correlation of Albany International is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Albany International moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Albany International moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Albany International can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Albany International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Albany Stock, please use our How to Invest in Albany International guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Will Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components sector continue expanding? Could Albany diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Albany International. If investors know Albany will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Albany International data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.61) | Dividend Share 1.08 | Earnings Share (1.81) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) |
Albany International's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Albany's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Albany International's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Albany International's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that Albany International's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Albany International represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, Albany International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.