Airo Group Holdings, Stock Price Prediction
| AIRO Stock | USD 8.74 0.61 6.52% |
Momentum 31
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.10) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.48) | Wall Street Target Price 30.6667 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.51 |
Using AIRO Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AIRO Group Holdings, from the perspective of AIRO Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AIRO Group using AIRO Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AIRO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AIRO Group's stock price.
AIRO Group Short Interest
An investor who is long AIRO Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AIRO Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge AIRO Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 22.2266 | Short Percent 0.029 | Short Ratio 0.48 | Shares Short Prior Month 988.9 K | 50 Day MA 20.9612 |
AIRO Group Holdings, Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AIRO Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AIRO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AIRO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AIRO Group Holdings,. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AIRO Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AIRO Group.
AIRO Group Implied Volatility | 0.96 |
AIRO Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AIRO Group Holdings, stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AIRO Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AIRO Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when AIRO Group's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AIRO Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AIRO because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AIRO Group after-hype prediction price | USD 7.58 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out AIRO Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. AIRO Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AIRO Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AIRO Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AIRO Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AIRO Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AIRO Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AIRO Group's historical news coverage. AIRO Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.15 and 13.01, respectively. We have considered AIRO Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AIRO Group is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AIRO Group Holdings, is based on 3 months time horizon.
AIRO Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AIRO Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AIRO Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AIRO Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.06 | 5.43 | 1.16 | 0.10 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.74 | 7.58 | 13.27 |
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AIRO Group Hype Timeline
AIRO Group Holdings, is presently traded for 8.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. AIRO is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.58. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -13.27%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.06%. The volatility of related hype on AIRO Group is about 5597.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.84. About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AIRO Group Holdings, recorded a loss per share of 1.01. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 19th of August 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out AIRO Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AIRO Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AIRO Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AIRO Group's future price movements. Getting to know how AIRO Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AIRO Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EVTL | Vertical Aerospace | 0.87 | 10 per month | 5.15 | (0.01) | 8.59 | (6.45) | 32.52 | |
| BYRN | Byrna Technologies | 0.20 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 5.19 | (6.41) | 27.91 | |
| SRTA | Strata Critical Medical, | (0.17) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 6.22 | (5.92) | 20.66 | |
| SWBI | Smith Wesson Brands | (0.23) | 8 per month | 1.86 | 0.02 | 4.08 | (2.42) | 24.91 | |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Co | 0.26 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.20 | (4.06) | 22.65 | |
| CYRX | Cryoport | 0.1 | 10 per month | 3.57 | (0) | 5.25 | (5.51) | 20.48 | |
| PKE | Park Electrochemical | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.91 | 0.06 | 3.99 | (3.10) | 12.38 | |
| EBF | Ennis Inc | 0.16 | 9 per month | 1.24 | (0.04) | 1.88 | (2.02) | 6.67 | |
| ZIP | Ziprecruiter | (0.24) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.91 | (6.40) | 20.67 | |
| CODI | Compass Diversified Holdings | 0.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.26 | (7.77) | 35.96 |
AIRO Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AIRO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AIRO using various technical indicators. When you analyze AIRO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AIRO Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AIRO Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AIRO Group Holdings,, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AIRO Group based on analysis of AIRO Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AIRO Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AIRO Group's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 1.23 | 1.06 | 1.74 | 2.42 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 60.76 | 57.0 | 112.53 | 112.27 |
Story Coverage note for AIRO Group
The number of cover stories for AIRO Group depends on current market conditions and AIRO Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AIRO Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AIRO Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AIRO Group Short Properties
AIRO Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when AIRO Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AIRO Group Holdings, often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AIRO Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AIRO Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.7 M |
Check out AIRO Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AIRO Group. If investors know AIRO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AIRO Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of AIRO Group Holdings, is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AIRO that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AIRO Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AIRO Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AIRO Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AIRO Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AIRO Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AIRO Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AIRO Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.