ALBIS LEASING (Germany) Price Prediction
| ALG Stock | EUR 2.76 0.04 1.43% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
79
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ALBIS LEASING hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ALBIS LEASING AG from the perspective of ALBIS LEASING response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ALBIS LEASING to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ALBIS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ALBIS LEASING after-hype prediction price | EUR 2.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ALBIS |
ALBIS LEASING After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ALBIS LEASING at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ALBIS LEASING or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ALBIS LEASING, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ALBIS LEASING Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ALBIS LEASING's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ALBIS LEASING's historical news coverage. ALBIS LEASING's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.84 and 3.68, respectively. We have considered ALBIS LEASING's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ALBIS LEASING is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ALBIS LEASING AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
ALBIS LEASING Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ALBIS LEASING is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ALBIS LEASING backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ALBIS LEASING, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.76 | 2.76 | 0.00 |
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ALBIS LEASING Hype Timeline
ALBIS LEASING AG is presently traded for 2.76on Munich Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ALBIS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on ALBIS LEASING is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.76. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. ALBIS LEASING AG last dividend was issued on the 14th of July 1970. The entity had 11:10 split on the 13th of September 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out ALBIS LEASING Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ALBIS LEASING Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ALBIS LEASING's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ALBIS LEASING's future price movements. Getting to know how ALBIS LEASING's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ALBIS LEASING may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AFG | American Eagle Outfitters | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.89 | (4.05) | 10.58 | |
| UOF | URBAN OUTFITTERS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | (0.01) | 4.24 | (2.99) | 10.23 | |
| LG1 | LGI Homes | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.19 | (0.01) | 3.03 | (3.64) | 17.30 | |
| DF0 | DFS Furniture PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.08 | 0.01 | 3.25 | (4.38) | 13.59 | |
| 1QK | Aedas Homes SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | (0.0001) | 3.45 | (3.05) | 9.07 |
ALBIS LEASING Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ALBIS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ALBIS using various technical indicators. When you analyze ALBIS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ALBIS LEASING Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ALBIS LEASING stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ALBIS LEASING AG, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ALBIS LEASING based on analysis of ALBIS LEASING hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ALBIS LEASING's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ALBIS LEASING's related companies.
Story Coverage note for ALBIS LEASING
The number of cover stories for ALBIS LEASING depends on current market conditions and ALBIS LEASING's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ALBIS LEASING is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ALBIS LEASING's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ALBIS LEASING Short Properties
ALBIS LEASING's future price predictability will typically decrease when ALBIS LEASING's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ALBIS LEASING AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ALBIS LEASING's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ALBIS LEASING's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.2 M | |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0138 | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 77.8 M |
Additional Tools for ALBIS Stock Analysis
When running ALBIS LEASING's price analysis, check to measure ALBIS LEASING's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ALBIS LEASING is operating at the current time. Most of ALBIS LEASING's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ALBIS LEASING's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ALBIS LEASING's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ALBIS LEASING to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.