Firsthand Alternative Energy Fund Price Patterns
| ALTEX Fund | USD 12.14 0.21 1.70% |
Momentum 71
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Firsthand Alternative hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Firsthand Alternative Energy from the perspective of Firsthand Alternative response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Firsthand Alternative to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Firsthand because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Firsthand Alternative after-hype prediction price | USD 12.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Firsthand |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Firsthand Alternative's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Firsthand Alternative After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Firsthand Alternative at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Firsthand Alternative or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Firsthand Alternative, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Firsthand Alternative Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Firsthand Alternative's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Firsthand Alternative's historical news coverage. Firsthand Alternative's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.78 and 14.50, respectively. We have considered Firsthand Alternative's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Firsthand Alternative is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Firsthand Alternative is based on 3 months time horizon.
Firsthand Alternative Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Firsthand Alternative is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Firsthand Alternative backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Firsthand Alternative, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 2.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.14 | 12.14 | 0.00 |
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Firsthand Alternative Hype Timeline
Firsthand Alternative is presently traded for 12.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Firsthand is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Firsthand Alternative is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.14. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Firsthand Alternative last dividend was issued on the 14th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Firsthand Alternative Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Firsthand Alternative Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Firsthand Alternative's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Firsthand Alternative's future price movements. Getting to know how Firsthand Alternative's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Firsthand Alternative may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FIRQX | Fidelity Income Replacement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.05 | (0.15) | 0.34 | (0.25) | 0.85 | |
| CNJFX | Commonwealth Japan Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.05 | 1.79 | (1.54) | 5.40 | |
| QSML | WisdomTree SmallCap Quality | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.04 | 1.92 | (1.50) | 4.44 | |
| FSYJX | Fidelity Sustainable Emerging | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.52 | 0.13 | 1.49 | (1.11) | 3.34 | |
| FIRVX | Fidelity Income Replacement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.17 | (0.06) | 0.48 | (0.44) | 1.20 | |
| FFIDX | Fidelity Fund Fidelity | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | (0.01) | 1.30 | (1.17) | 3.70 | |
| FIRSX | Fidelity Income Replacement | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.09 | (0.10) | 0.41 | (0.31) | 1.01 | |
| CAFRX | Africa Fund Africa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.35 | 0.32 | 2.21 | (1.10) | 3.74 | |
| FVALX | Forester Value Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.16 | 0.05 | 0.68 | (0.50) | 2.18 | |
| RCKSX | Rock Oak E | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.57 | 0.05 | 1.21 | (0.97) | 3.77 |
Firsthand Alternative Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Firsthand price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Firsthand using various technical indicators. When you analyze Firsthand charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Firsthand Alternative Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Firsthand Alternative stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Firsthand Alternative Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Firsthand Alternative based on analysis of Firsthand Alternative hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Firsthand Alternative's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Firsthand Alternative's related companies.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Firsthand Mutual Fund
Firsthand Alternative financial ratios help investors to determine whether Firsthand Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Firsthand with respect to the benefits of owning Firsthand Alternative security.
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