Amerant Bancorp Stock Price Patterns
| AMTB Stock | USD 23.22 0.23 1.00% |
Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4633 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.045 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.635 | Wall Street Target Price 24.5 |
Using Amerant Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amerant Bancorp from the perspective of Amerant Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amerant Bancorp using Amerant Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amerant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amerant Bancorp's stock price.
Amerant Bancorp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Amerant Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Amerant. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Amerant Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.1679 | Short Percent 0.0288 | Short Ratio 3.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 461.5 K | 50 Day MA 20.4892 |
Amerant Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Amerant Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Amerant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Amerant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Amerant Bancorp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Amerant Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Amerant Bancorp.
Amerant Bancorp Implied Volatility | 1.25 |
Amerant Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amerant Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amerant Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amerant Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amerant Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Amerant Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Amerant because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Amerant Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 23.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amerant contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amerant Bancorp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0781% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Amerant Bancorp trading at USD 23.22, that is roughly USD 0.0181 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amerant Bancorp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amerant Bancorp options at the current volatility level of 1.25%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Amerant Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amerant Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amerant Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amerant Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amerant Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amerant Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amerant Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amerant Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amerant Bancorp's historical news coverage. Amerant Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.51 and 25.45, respectively. We have considered Amerant Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amerant Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amerant Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amerant Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amerant Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amerant Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amerant Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 1.97 | 0.26 | 1.02 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
23.22 | 23.48 | 1.12 |
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Amerant Bancorp Hype Timeline
Amerant Bancorp is presently traded for 23.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.02. Amerant is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.48 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 1.12%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.49%. The volatility of related hype on Amerant Bancorp is about 94.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.24. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 655.25 M. Net Loss for the year was (15.75 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 394.19 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Amerant Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Amerant Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amerant Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amerant Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Amerant Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amerant Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFST | Business First Bancshares | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.97 | 0.14 | 2.72 | (1.57) | 8.85 | |
| NBN | Northeast Bancorp | 1.41 | 11 per month | 1.62 | 0.20 | 4.10 | (3.68) | 13.72 | |
| CCNE | CNB Financial | 1.22 | 9 per month | 0.94 | 0.13 | 3.12 | (1.55) | 8.97 | |
| MBWM | Mercantile Bank | 0.96 | 9 per month | 0.98 | 0.15 | 3.78 | (1.75) | 9.88 | |
| MCB | Metropolitan Bank Holding | 10.12 | 9 per month | 1.00 | 0.21 | 3.81 | (1.74) | 19.32 | |
| HBT | Hbt Financial | 1.33 | 7 per month | 1.14 | 0.16 | 3.31 | (2.90) | 8.89 | |
| HTB | HomeTrust Bancshares | 0.19 | 7 per month | 1.24 | 0.06 | 2.66 | (2.38) | 9.13 | |
| TRST | TrustCo Bank Corp | 0.16 | 10 per month | 1.42 | 0.12 | 2.88 | (1.69) | 12.39 | |
| CCBG | Capital City Bank | 3.34 | 11 per month | 1.70 | 0.05 | 3.11 | (3.38) | 9.74 |
Amerant Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amerant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amerant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amerant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Amerant Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Amerant Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Amerant Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amerant Bancorp based on analysis of Amerant Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Amerant Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Amerant Bancorp's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0147 | 0.016 | 0.0185 | 0.0251 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.49 | 1.39 | 1.22 | 2.29 |
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When running Amerant Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Amerant Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amerant Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Amerant Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amerant Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amerant Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amerant Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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