Alimentation Couchen Tard Stock Price Prediction
| ANCTF Stock | USD 55.76 0.49 0.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Alimentation Couchen hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alimentation Couchen Tard from the perspective of Alimentation Couchen response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alimentation Couchen to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alimentation because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alimentation Couchen after-hype prediction price | USD 55.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alimentation |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alimentation Couchen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alimentation Couchen After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alimentation Couchen at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alimentation Couchen or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Alimentation Couchen, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alimentation Couchen Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alimentation Couchen's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alimentation Couchen's historical news coverage. Alimentation Couchen's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.28 and 57.02, respectively. We have considered Alimentation Couchen's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alimentation Couchen is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alimentation Couchen Tard is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alimentation Couchen Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alimentation Couchen is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alimentation Couchen backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alimentation Couchen, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.37 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 47 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 47 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
55.76 | 55.65 | 0.20 |
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Alimentation Couchen Hype Timeline
Alimentation Couchen Tard is presently traded for 55.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Alimentation is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 55.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 89.54%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Alimentation Couchen is about 362.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 55.79. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Alimentation Couchen was presently reported as 12.58. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2022. Alimentation Couchen Tard had 3:1 split on the 23rd of April 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 47 days. Check out Alimentation Couchen Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Alimentation Couchen Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alimentation Couchen's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alimentation Couchen's future price movements. Getting to know how Alimentation Couchen's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alimentation Couchen may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Alimentation Couchen Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alimentation price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alimentation using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alimentation charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alimentation Couchen Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alimentation Couchen stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alimentation Couchen Tard, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alimentation Couchen based on analysis of Alimentation Couchen hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alimentation Couchen's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alimentation Couchen's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Alimentation Couchen
The number of cover stories for Alimentation Couchen depends on current market conditions and Alimentation Couchen's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alimentation Couchen is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alimentation Couchen's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alimentation Couchen Short Properties
Alimentation Couchen's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alimentation Couchen's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alimentation Couchen Tard often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alimentation Couchen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alimentation Couchen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1 B |
Complementary Tools for Alimentation Pink Sheet analysis
When running Alimentation Couchen's price analysis, check to measure Alimentation Couchen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alimentation Couchen is operating at the current time. Most of Alimentation Couchen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alimentation Couchen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alimentation Couchen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alimentation Couchen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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