Africa Opportunity (UK) Price Prediction

AOF Fund   0.68  0.03  4.62%   
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Africa Opportunity's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the fund is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Africa Opportunity's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Africa Opportunity and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Africa Opportunity's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Africa Opportunity, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Africa Opportunity hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Africa Opportunity from the perspective of Africa Opportunity response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Africa Opportunity to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Africa because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Africa Opportunity after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Africa Opportunity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.621.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.100.691.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.630.650.67
Details

Africa Opportunity After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Africa Opportunity at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Africa Opportunity or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Africa Opportunity, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Africa Opportunity Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Africa Opportunity's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Africa Opportunity's historical news coverage. Africa Opportunity's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 1.27, respectively. We have considered Africa Opportunity's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.68
0.68
After-hype Price
1.27
Upside
Africa Opportunity is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Africa Opportunity is based on 3 months time horizon.

Africa Opportunity Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Africa Opportunity is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Africa Opportunity backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Africa Opportunity, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.59
 0.00  
  0.06 
8 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.68
0.68
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Africa Opportunity Hype Timeline

Africa Opportunity is presently traded for 0.68on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Africa is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Africa Opportunity is about 75.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.62. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.66. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Africa Opportunity recorded a loss per share of 0.11. The entity last dividend was issued on the 19th of June 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Africa Opportunity Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Africa Opportunity Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Africa Opportunity's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Africa Opportunity's future price movements. Getting to know how Africa Opportunity's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Africa Opportunity may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0P0000SO5NFidelity Active Strategy 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BUTBrunner Investment Trust(7.00)7 per month 0.57 (0) 1.45 (1.00) 3.08 
0P0000T360Schroder Asian Alpha 0.00 0 per month 0.88  0.04  1.71 (1.74) 5.20 
1SBAONESAVINGS BANK FXD 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BNKRBankers Investment Trust 0.00 2 per month 0.75 (0.04) 1.20 (1.37) 3.80 
PMGZPMGR Securities 2025 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
0P0001O2BNVanguard Global Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.47 (0.04) 0.95 (0.85) 2.73 
0P0000KKC4Artemisome I 0.00 0 per month 0.64 (0.05) 1.21 (0.90) 4.19 
0P0001O7DOiShares Continental European 0.00 0 per month 0.58  0.03  1.47 (1.47) 3.66 

Africa Opportunity Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Africa price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Africa using various technical indicators. When you analyze Africa charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Africa Opportunity Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Africa Opportunity stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Africa Opportunity, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Africa Opportunity based on analysis of Africa Opportunity hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Africa Opportunity's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Africa Opportunity's related companies.

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Other Information on Investing in Africa Fund

Africa Opportunity financial ratios help investors to determine whether Africa Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Africa with respect to the benefits of owning Africa Opportunity security.
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