APPLIED MATERIALS (Germany) Price Prediction
| AP2 Stock | 163.62 4.40 2.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Using APPLIED MATERIALS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of APPLIED MATERIALS from the perspective of APPLIED MATERIALS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in APPLIED MATERIALS to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying APPLIED because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
APPLIED MATERIALS after-hype prediction price | EUR 163.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
APPLIED |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of APPLIED MATERIALS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
APPLIED MATERIALS After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of APPLIED MATERIALS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in APPLIED MATERIALS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of APPLIED MATERIALS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
APPLIED MATERIALS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting APPLIED MATERIALS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on APPLIED MATERIALS's historical news coverage. APPLIED MATERIALS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 160.91 and 166.33, respectively. We have considered APPLIED MATERIALS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
APPLIED MATERIALS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of APPLIED MATERIALS is based on 3 months time horizon.
APPLIED MATERIALS Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as APPLIED MATERIALS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading APPLIED MATERIALS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with APPLIED MATERIALS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
163.62 | 163.62 | 0.00 |
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APPLIED MATERIALS Hype Timeline
APPLIED MATERIALS is presently traded for 163.62on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. APPLIED is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on APPLIED MATERIALS is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 163.62. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out APPLIED MATERIALS Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.APPLIED MATERIALS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to APPLIED MATERIALS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict APPLIED MATERIALS's future price movements. Getting to know how APPLIED MATERIALS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how APPLIED MATERIALS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | (0) | 1.91 | (2.15) | 7.12 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.01 | 2.96 | (2.05) | 8.21 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.00 | 2.20 | (1.85) | 9.25 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | (0) | 2.27 | (1.75) | 9.11 |
APPLIED MATERIALS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine APPLIED price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for APPLIED using various technical indicators. When you analyze APPLIED charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About APPLIED MATERIALS Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of APPLIED MATERIALS stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as APPLIED MATERIALS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of APPLIED MATERIALS based on analysis of APPLIED MATERIALS hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to APPLIED MATERIALS's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to APPLIED MATERIALS's related companies.
Story Coverage note for APPLIED MATERIALS
The number of cover stories for APPLIED MATERIALS depends on current market conditions and APPLIED MATERIALS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that APPLIED MATERIALS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about APPLIED MATERIALS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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APPLIED MATERIALS Short Properties
APPLIED MATERIALS's future price predictability will typically decrease when APPLIED MATERIALS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of APPLIED MATERIALS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential APPLIED MATERIALS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. APPLIED MATERIALS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 844 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 873 M |
Additional Tools for APPLIED Stock Analysis
When running APPLIED MATERIALS's price analysis, check to measure APPLIED MATERIALS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy APPLIED MATERIALS is operating at the current time. Most of APPLIED MATERIALS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of APPLIED MATERIALS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move APPLIED MATERIALS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of APPLIED MATERIALS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.