Apollo Global Management Stock Price Prediction

APO Stock  USD 165.02  2.13  1.31%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Apollo Global's share price is above 70 as of today. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Apollo, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

73

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Apollo Global's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apollo Global Management, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Apollo Global's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.174
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.88
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.122
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.5235
Wall Street Target Price
166.0588
Using Apollo Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Apollo Global Management from the perspective of Apollo Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Apollo Global Management Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Apollo Global's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Apollo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Apollo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Apollo Global Management. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Apollo Global's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Apollo Global.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Apollo Global to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Apollo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Apollo Global after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 164.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Apollo Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
136.59138.76181.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
161.42163.59165.76
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
90.3999.33110.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.741.781.81
Details

Apollo Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Apollo Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Apollo Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Apollo Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Apollo Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Apollo Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Apollo Global's historical news coverage. Apollo Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 162.18 and 166.52, respectively. We have considered Apollo Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
165.02
162.18
Downside
164.35
After-hype Price
166.52
Upside
Apollo Global is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apollo Global Management is based on 3 months time horizon.

Apollo Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Apollo Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Apollo Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Apollo Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.64 
2.17
  0.67 
  0.07 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
165.02
164.35
0.41 
208.65  
Notes

Apollo Global Hype Timeline

On the 22nd of November Apollo Global Management is traded for 165.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Apollo is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 164.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.64%. The volatility of related hype on Apollo Global is about 2028.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 164.95. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.37. Apollo Global Management recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.47. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2024. The firm had 1:1 split on the 22nd of August 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Apollo Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Apollo Global Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Apollo Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Apollo Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Apollo Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Apollo Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VKIInvesco Advantage MIT(0.04)1 per month 0.41 (0.18) 0.79 (0.66) 2.47 
VKQInvesco Municipal Trust(0.05)3 per month 0.44 (0.23) 0.80 (0.90) 2.19 
VCVInvesco California Value(0.07)3 per month 0.00 (0.22) 0.95 (0.97) 3.87 
VCTRVictory Capital Holdings(0.82)9 per month 1.90  0.14  3.47 (3.17) 14.16 
VGMInvesco Trust For(0.04)4 per month 0.47 (0.23) 0.68 (0.78) 2.66 
IQIInvesco Quality Municipal 0.01 2 per month 0.54 (0.21) 0.79 (0.70) 2.30 
VMOInvesco Municipal Opportunity 0.07 2 per month 0.52 (0.19) 0.82 (1.01) 2.43 
CXEMFS High Income 0.06 5 per month 0.57 (0.15) 1.33 (1.04) 3.34 
KTFDWS Municipal Income 0.07 8 per month 0.47 (0.1) 1.12 (0.61) 3.40 
ETOEaton Vance Tax(0.26)2 per month 0.88 (0.13) 0.78 (1.49) 3.50 

Apollo Global Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Apollo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Apollo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Apollo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Apollo Global Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Apollo Global stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Apollo Global Management, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Apollo Global based on analysis of Apollo Global hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Apollo Global's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Apollo Global's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.03230.02580.01910.0181
Price To Sales Ratio2.883.41.661.95

Story Coverage note for Apollo Global

The number of cover stories for Apollo Global depends on current market conditions and Apollo Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Apollo Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Apollo Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Apollo Global Short Properties

Apollo Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Apollo Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Apollo Global Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Apollo Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apollo Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding588.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments170.2 B
When determining whether Apollo Global Management is a strong investment it is important to analyze Apollo Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Apollo Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Apollo Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Apollo Global Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apollo Global. If investors know Apollo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apollo Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.174
Dividend Share
1.818
Earnings Share
9.47
Revenue Per Share
54.036
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.851
The market value of Apollo Global Management is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apollo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apollo Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apollo Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apollo Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apollo Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apollo Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apollo Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apollo Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.