Asian Hotels (India) Price Prediction

ASIANHOTNR   200.04  9.52  5.00%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Asian Hotels' share price is approaching 45. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Asian Hotels, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Asian Hotels' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Asian Hotels Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Asian Hotels' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Using Asian Hotels hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Asian Hotels Limited from the perspective of Asian Hotels response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Asian Hotels to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Asian because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Asian Hotels after-hype prediction price

    
  INR 189.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Asian Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
176.21179.09209.57
Details

Asian Hotels After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Asian Hotels at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Asian Hotels or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Asian Hotels, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Asian Hotels Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Asian Hotels' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Asian Hotels' historical news coverage. Asian Hotels' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 187.07 and 192.83, respectively. We have considered Asian Hotels' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
200.04
187.07
Downside
189.95
After-hype Price
192.83
Upside
Asian Hotels is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Asian Hotels Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.

Asian Hotels Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Asian Hotels is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Asian Hotels backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Asian Hotels, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.11 
2.88
  0.57 
  2.03 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
200.04
189.95
0.30 
55.49  
Notes

Asian Hotels Hype Timeline

Asian Hotels Limited is presently traded for 200.04on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.57, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.03. Asian is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 189.95. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 55.49%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Asian Hotels is about 15.61%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 202.07. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Asian Hotels was presently reported as 38.51. The company recorded a loss per share of 62.51. Asian Hotels Limited last dividend was issued on the 25th of September 2014. The entity had 7:5 split on the . Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Check out Asian Hotels Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Asian Hotels Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Asian Hotels' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Asian Hotels' future price movements. Getting to know how Asian Hotels' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Asian Hotels may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PYRAMIDPYRAMID TECHNOPLAST ORD 0.00 0 per month 3.38  0.04  7.90 (4.97) 35.54 
PALREDTECPalred Technologies Limited(6.28)1 per month 2.96 (0.0009) 6.08 (5.11) 27.40 
FCSSOFTFCS Software Solutions 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.07) 5.52 (4.07) 16.67 
63MOONS63 moons technologies(10.85)2 per month 2.72  0.22  8.37 (4.99) 18.53 
NAZARANazara Technologies Limited 23.65 4 per month 2.14  0.01  4.47 (4.00) 9.74 
AAATECHAAA Technologies Limited(9.38)2 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.69 (5.71) 17.86 
AVALONAVALON TECHNOLOGIES LTD 7.35 3 per month 1.90  0.19  10.78 (4.21) 22.19 
SASKENSasken Technologies Limited 143.10 3 per month 1.66  0.11  6.34 (3.21) 18.65 

Asian Hotels Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Asian price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Asian using various technical indicators. When you analyze Asian charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Asian Hotels Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Asian Hotels stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Asian Hotels Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Asian Hotels based on analysis of Asian Hotels hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Asian Hotels's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Asian Hotels's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Asian Hotels

The number of cover stories for Asian Hotels depends on current market conditions and Asian Hotels' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Asian Hotels is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Asian Hotels' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Asian Hotels Short Properties

Asian Hotels' future price predictability will typically decrease when Asian Hotels' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Asian Hotels Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Asian Hotels' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asian Hotels' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments541.8 M

Other Information on Investing in Asian Stock

Asian Hotels financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asian with respect to the benefits of owning Asian Hotels security.