Autohome Stock Price Prediction
| ATHM Stock | USD 27.60 0.45 1.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
40
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.51 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2625 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.2797 | Wall Street Target Price 30.1447 |
Using Autohome hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Autohome from the perspective of Autohome response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Autohome to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Autohome because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Autohome after-hype prediction price | USD 27.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Autohome |
Autohome After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Autohome at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Autohome or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Autohome, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Autohome Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Autohome's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Autohome's historical news coverage. Autohome's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.44 and 30.08, respectively. We have considered Autohome's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Autohome is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Autohome is based on 3 months time horizon.
Autohome Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Autohome is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Autohome backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Autohome, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.32 | 0.16 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
27.60 | 27.76 | 0.58 |
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Autohome Hype Timeline
Autohome is presently traded for 27.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Autohome is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.58%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Autohome is about 1213.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.64. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.18 B. Net Income was 1.93 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.71 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Autohome Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Autohome Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Autohome's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Autohome's future price movements. Getting to know how Autohome's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Autohome may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MOMO | Hello Group | 0.35 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.99 | (4.28) | 15.29 | |
| WB | Weibo Corp | (0.03) | 9 per month | 3.16 | 0.04 | 7.48 | (5.36) | 23.98 | |
| TME | Tencent Music Entertainment | 0.14 | 9 per month | 2.38 | 0.03 | 5.81 | (4.93) | 21.86 | |
| DOYU | DouYu International Holdings | 0.47 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.28 | (6.42) | 53.61 | |
| YY | YY Inc Class | 0.84 | 7 per month | 2.02 | (0.06) | 3.61 | (3.82) | 8.81 | |
| TCTZF | Tencent Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.75 | 0.01 | 5.12 | (4.29) | 17.65 | |
| AREN | Arena Group Holdings | (0.05) | 5 per month | 4.40 | 0.09 | 8.70 | (8.51) | 221.79 | |
| GOGY | Golden Grail Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.38 | 0 | 30.43 | (26.27) | 83.08 | |
| ASST | Asset Entities Class | 0.00 | 8 per month | 9.10 | (0) | 29.76 | (11.56) | 101.83 |
Autohome Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Autohome price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Autohome using various technical indicators. When you analyze Autohome charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Autohome Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Autohome stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Autohome, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Autohome based on analysis of Autohome hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Autohome's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Autohome's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0288 | 0.016 | 0.0195 | 0.00992 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.23 | 3.79 | 3.5 | 3.33 |
Story Coverage note for Autohome
The number of cover stories for Autohome depends on current market conditions and Autohome's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Autohome is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Autohome's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Autohome Short Properties
Autohome's future price predictability will typically decrease when Autohome's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Autohome often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Autohome's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autohome's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 122.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 23.5 B |
Check out Autohome Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Autohome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Autohome guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Interactive Media & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Autohome. If investors know Autohome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Autohome listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.24) | Dividend Share 8.155 | Earnings Share 2.14 | Revenue Per Share 59.124 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Autohome is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Autohome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Autohome's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Autohome's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Autohome's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Autohome's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Autohome's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Autohome is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Autohome's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.