Autohome Stock Price Patterns
| ATHM Stock | USD 21.00 0.03 0.14% |
Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.023 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4688 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.8065 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7113 | Wall Street Target Price 26.5914 |
Using Autohome hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Autohome from the perspective of Autohome response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Autohome using Autohome's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Autohome using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Autohome's stock price.
Autohome Implied Volatility | 0.62 |
Autohome's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Autohome stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Autohome's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Autohome stock will not fluctuate a lot when Autohome's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Autohome to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Autohome because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Autohome after-hype prediction price | USD 21.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Autohome contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Autohome will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0388% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Autohome trading at USD 21.0, that is roughly USD 0.008137 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Autohome's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Autohome options at the current volatility level of 0.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Autohome Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Autohome After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Autohome at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Autohome or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Autohome, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Autohome Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Autohome's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Autohome's historical news coverage. Autohome's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.17 and 22.87, respectively. We have considered Autohome's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Autohome is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Autohome is based on 3 months time horizon.
Autohome Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Autohome is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Autohome backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Autohome, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.85 | 0.02 | 0.09 | 5 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.00 | 21.02 | 0.10 |
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Autohome Hype Timeline
Autohome is presently traded for 21.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. Autohome is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Autohome is about 180.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.91. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.04 B. Net Income was 1.62 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.97 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Autohome Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Autohome Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Autohome's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Autohome's future price movements. Getting to know how Autohome's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Autohome may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BZ | Kanzhun Ltd ADR | 0.45 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.03 | (3.34) | 11.69 | |
| MH | McGraw Hill | (0.27) | 10 per month | 3.18 | 0.07 | 6.25 | (4.78) | 34.91 | |
| SY | So Young International | 0.07 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.04 | (8.60) | 21.31 | |
| TC | TuanChe ADR | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.45 | (9.74) | 26.70 | |
| YQ | 17 Education Technology | 0.40 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.01 | (7.85) | 27.50 | |
| PU11 | The Social Chain | 0.0005 | 3 per month | 15.96 | 0.14 | 40.00 | (33.33) | 432.35 | |
| ABEA | Alphabet Class A | (8.85) | 10 per month | 1.37 | 0 | 2.89 | (2.46) | 8.07 | |
| 1PX | PHOENIX NEW MEDADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.89 | (3.14) | 10.78 |
Autohome Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Autohome price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Autohome using various technical indicators. When you analyze Autohome charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Autohome Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Autohome stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Autohome, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Autohome based on analysis of Autohome hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Autohome's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Autohome's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0195 | 0.0645 | 0.058 | 0.0609 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.5 | 3.26 | 3.75 | 3.56 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Autohome Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Autohome Stock, please use our How to Invest in Autohome guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Will Interactive Media & Services sector continue expanding? Could Autohome diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Autohome. If investors know Autohome will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Autohome data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.023 | Dividend Share 16.755 | Earnings Share 1.77 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.002 |
The market value of Autohome is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Autohome that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Autohome's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Autohome's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Autohome's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Autohome's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Autohome's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Autohome represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Autohome's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.