Athabasca Oil Corp Stock Price Patterns
| ATHOF Stock | USD 6.17 0.31 5.29% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Athabasca Oil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Athabasca Oil Corp from the perspective of Athabasca Oil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Athabasca Oil to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Athabasca because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Athabasca Oil after-hype prediction price | USD 6.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Athabasca |
Athabasca Oil After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Athabasca Oil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Athabasca Oil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Athabasca Oil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Athabasca Oil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Athabasca Oil's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Athabasca Oil's historical news coverage. Athabasca Oil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.74 and 8.50, respectively. We have considered Athabasca Oil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Athabasca Oil is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Athabasca Oil Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Athabasca Oil Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Athabasca Oil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Athabasca Oil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Athabasca Oil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.38 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.17 | 6.12 | 0.81 |
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Athabasca Oil Hype Timeline
Athabasca Oil Corp is presently traded for 6.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Athabasca is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 6.12. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.81%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.37%. The volatility of related hype on Athabasca Oil is about 4576.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.15. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.06. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Athabasca Oil Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Athabasca Oil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Athabasca Oil Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Athabasca Oil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Athabasca Oil's future price movements. Getting to know how Athabasca Oil's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Athabasca Oil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NUVSF | NuVista Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.17 | 2.33 | (1.53) | 7.21 | |
| UNEGF | United Energy Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 81.54 | |
| PRMRF | Paramount Resources | (0.13) | 6 per month | 1.82 | 0.11 | 3.20 | (3.27) | 7.61 | |
| RUBSF | Rubis | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EERGF | Energean plc | (0.13) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.80 | (2.89) | 11.21 | |
| TOIPY | Thai Oil PCL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SRE | Sempra Energy | (0.13) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.52 | (2.76) | 6.43 | |
| NHPEF | New Hope | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.43 | 0.06 | 6.59 | (5.03) | 19.63 | |
| FDVWF | Friedrich Vorwerk Group | (0.13) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.34 | |
| PEYUF | Peyto ExplorationDevelopment Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.53 | 0.16 | 2.85 | (2.80) | 10.79 |
Athabasca Oil Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Athabasca price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Athabasca using various technical indicators. When you analyze Athabasca charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Athabasca Oil Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Athabasca Oil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Athabasca Oil Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Athabasca Oil based on analysis of Athabasca Oil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Athabasca Oil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Athabasca Oil's related companies.
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When running Athabasca Oil's price analysis, check to measure Athabasca Oil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Athabasca Oil is operating at the current time. Most of Athabasca Oil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Athabasca Oil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Athabasca Oil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Athabasca Oil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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