Anglogold Ashanti Plc Stock Price Prediction
| AU Stock | USD 25.20 0.75 2.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.32 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.75 | Wall Street Target Price 33.5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.308 |
Using AngloGold Ashanti hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AngloGold Ashanti plc from the perspective of AngloGold Ashanti response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
AngloGold Ashanti plc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AngloGold Ashanti's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AngloGold. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AngloGold can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AngloGold Ashanti plc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AngloGold Ashanti's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AngloGold Ashanti.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AngloGold Ashanti to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AngloGold because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AngloGold Ashanti after-hype prediction price | USD 25.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AngloGold |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AngloGold Ashanti's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AngloGold Ashanti After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AngloGold Ashanti at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AngloGold Ashanti or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AngloGold Ashanti, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AngloGold Ashanti Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AngloGold Ashanti's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AngloGold Ashanti's historical news coverage. AngloGold Ashanti's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.38 and 28.48, respectively. We have considered AngloGold Ashanti's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AngloGold Ashanti is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AngloGold Ashanti plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
AngloGold Ashanti Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AngloGold Ashanti is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AngloGold Ashanti backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AngloGold Ashanti, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.57 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
25.20 | 25.93 | 0.08 |
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AngloGold Ashanti Hype Timeline
As of November 25, 2024 AngloGold Ashanti plc is listed for 25.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. AngloGold is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 25.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on AngloGold Ashanti is about 51400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.20. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AngloGold Ashanti was presently reported as 9.81. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of August 2024. AngloGold Ashanti plc had 1033:988 split on the 30th of May 2008. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out AngloGold Ashanti Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AngloGold Ashanti Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AngloGold Ashanti's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AngloGold Ashanti's future price movements. Getting to know how AngloGold Ashanti's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AngloGold Ashanti may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FTCO | Fortitude Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.10 | 3.19 | (2.33) | 16.65 | |
| GLDG | GoldMining | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.74 | (0.01) | 4.26 | (2.91) | 11.50 |
AngloGold Ashanti Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AngloGold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AngloGold using various technical indicators. When you analyze AngloGold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AngloGold Ashanti Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AngloGold Ashanti stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AngloGold Ashanti plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AngloGold Ashanti based on analysis of AngloGold Ashanti hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AngloGold Ashanti's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AngloGold Ashanti's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0272 | 0.0247 | 0.014 | 0.0198 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.19 | 1.83 | 1.67 | 2.64 |
Story Coverage note for AngloGold Ashanti
The number of cover stories for AngloGold Ashanti depends on current market conditions and AngloGold Ashanti's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AngloGold Ashanti is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AngloGold Ashanti's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AngloGold Ashanti Short Properties
AngloGold Ashanti's future price predictability will typically decrease when AngloGold Ashanti's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AngloGold Ashanti plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AngloGold Ashanti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AngloGold Ashanti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 421.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 964 M |
Additional Tools for AngloGold Stock Analysis
When running AngloGold Ashanti's price analysis, check to measure AngloGold Ashanti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AngloGold Ashanti is operating at the current time. Most of AngloGold Ashanti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AngloGold Ashanti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AngloGold Ashanti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AngloGold Ashanti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.