American West (Australia) Price Prediction
| AW1 Stock | 0.07 0 1.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.03) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.02) | Wall Street Target Price 0.32 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 4.132 |
Using American West hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American West Metals from the perspective of American West response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American West to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American West after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
American West After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American West at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American West or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American West, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American West Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American West's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American West's historical news coverage. American West's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 4.95, respectively. We have considered American West's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American West is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American West Metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
American West Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American West is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American West backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American West, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.96 | 4.87 | 0.01 | 0.19 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.07 | 0.08 | 23.08 |
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American West Hype Timeline
American West Metals is presently traded for 0.07on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. American is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 23.08%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.96%. The volatility of related hype on American West is about 2470.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.26. American West Metals has accumulated 4.99 M in total debt. Debt can assist American West until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, American West's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like American West Metals sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for American to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about American West's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out American West Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American West Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American West's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American West's future price movements. Getting to know how American West's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American West may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NST | Northern Star Resources | (0.01) | 2 per month | 1.89 | 0.07 | 3.53 | (2.65) | 11.36 | |
| EVN | Evolution Mining | 0.02 | 2 per month | 2.01 | 0.05 | 4.17 | (3.23) | 13.39 | |
| BSL | Bluescope Steel | 1.33 | 1 per month | 1.63 | (0.05) | 2.58 | (2.92) | 8.75 | |
| SFR | Sandfire Resources NL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.03 | 3.29 | (2.69) | 9.61 | |
| ATM | Aneka Tambang Tbk | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | (0.97) | 16.07 | |
| PRU | Perseus Mining | 0.05 | 1 per month | 2.17 | (0.01) | 3.14 | (4.05) | 17.15 | |
| DEG | De Grey Mining | (0.01) | 1 per month | 2.29 | 0.09 | 4.32 | (3.27) | 12.51 |
American West Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American West Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American West stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American West Metals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American West based on analysis of American West hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American West's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American West's related companies.
Story Coverage note for American West
The number of cover stories for American West depends on current market conditions and American West's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American West is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American West's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American West Short Properties
American West's future price predictability will typically decrease when American West's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American West Metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American West's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American West's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 454.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.1 M |
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American West's price analysis, check to measure American West's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American West is operating at the current time. Most of American West's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American West's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American West's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American West to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.