Armstrong World Industries Stock Price Prediction
| AWI Stock | USD 161.96 2.88 1.81% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
78
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.122 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.33 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.1928 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.8387 | Wall Street Target Price 149.75 |
Using Armstrong World hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Armstrong World Industries from the perspective of Armstrong World response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Armstrong World Indu Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Armstrong World's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Armstrong. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Armstrong can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Armstrong World Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Armstrong World's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Armstrong World.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Armstrong World to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Armstrong because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Armstrong World after-hype prediction price | USD 158.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Armstrong |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Armstrong World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Armstrong World After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Armstrong World at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Armstrong World or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Armstrong World, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Armstrong World Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Armstrong World's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Armstrong World's historical news coverage. Armstrong World's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 157.66 and 160.10, respectively. We have considered Armstrong World's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Armstrong World is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Armstrong World Indu is based on 3 months time horizon.
Armstrong World Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Armstrong World is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Armstrong World backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Armstrong World, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 1.23 | 0.22 | 0.19 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
161.96 | 158.88 | 0.13 |
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Armstrong World Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Armstrong World Indu is traded for 161.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Armstrong is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 158.88. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Armstrong World is about 275.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 161.77. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.66. Armstrong World Indu recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of November 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Armstrong World Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Armstrong World Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Armstrong World's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Armstrong World's future price movements. Getting to know how Armstrong World's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Armstrong World may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NX | Quanex Building Products | (0.21) | 11 per month | 2.55 | 0.03 | 4.43 | (2.75) | 32.55 | |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries | (0.25) | 9 per month | 1.63 | (0) | 2.88 | (2.19) | 8.68 | |
| BECN | Beacon Roofing Supply | (1.79) | 7 per month | 1.51 | 0.11 | 3.74 | (2.18) | 11.44 | |
| JBI | Janus International Group | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.06 | (4.22) | 33.52 | |
| TREX | Trex Company | (0.72) | 10 per month | 1.75 | 0.03 | 3.40 | (2.93) | 10.25 | |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises | (0.06) | 11 per month | 1.59 | 0.09 | 3.73 | (2.93) | 28.75 | |
| AZEK | Azek Company | (0.41) | 10 per month | 1.42 | 0.1 | 3.48 | (2.33) | 9.05 | |
| JELD | Jeld Wen Holding | (0.62) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.93 | (5.43) | 37.15 | |
| PPIH | Perma Pipe International Holdings | (0.26) | 4 per month | 2.26 | 0.16 | 9.82 | (4.43) | 35.55 | |
| TILE | Interface | (0.14) | 9 per month | 1.29 | 0.11 | 3.44 | (2.83) | 34.53 |
Armstrong World Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Armstrong price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Armstrong using various technical indicators. When you analyze Armstrong charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Armstrong World Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Armstrong World stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Armstrong World Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Armstrong World based on analysis of Armstrong World hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Armstrong World's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Armstrong World's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Armstrong World
The number of cover stories for Armstrong World depends on current market conditions and Armstrong World's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Armstrong World is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Armstrong World's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Armstrong World Short Properties
Armstrong World's future price predictability will typically decrease when Armstrong World's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Armstrong World Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Armstrong World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Armstrong World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 70.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Armstrong Stock analysis
When running Armstrong World's price analysis, check to measure Armstrong World's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Armstrong World is operating at the current time. Most of Armstrong World's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Armstrong World's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Armstrong World's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Armstrong World to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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