A1 Group Stock Price Prediction

AWON Stock  USD 0  0  29.41%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of A1's share price is approaching 42. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling A1, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of A1's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with A1 Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using A1 hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of A1 Group from the perspective of A1 response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in A1 to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying A1 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

A1 after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.002814  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out A1 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.00015.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.000066015.91
Details

A1 After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of A1 at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in A1 or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of A1, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

A1 Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting A1's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on A1's historical news coverage. A1's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 15.90, respectively. We have considered A1's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0
0
After-hype Price
15.90
Upside
A1 is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of A1 Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

A1 Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as A1 is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading A1 backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with A1, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
16.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0
0
17.26 
0.00  
Notes

A1 Hype Timeline

A1 Group is presently traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. A1 is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.002814 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price boost on the next news is estimated to be 17.26%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on A1 is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. A1 Group currently holds 359.67 K in liabilities. A1 Group has a current ratio of 0.1, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist A1 until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, A1's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like A1 Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for A1 to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about A1's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out A1 Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

A1 Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to A1's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict A1's future price movements. Getting to know how A1's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how A1 may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

A1 Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine A1 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for A1 using various technical indicators. When you analyze A1 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About A1 Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of A1 stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as A1 Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of A1 based on analysis of A1 hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to A1's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to A1's related companies.

Pair Trading with A1

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if A1 position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in A1 will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with A1 Pink Sheet

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Moving against A1 Pink Sheet

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  0.75JNJ Johnson JohnsonPairCorr
  0.7VLKPF Volkswagen AG VZOPairCorr
  0.68VWAGY Volkswagen AG 110PairCorr
  0.67SAR Saratoga Investment CorpPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to A1 could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace A1 when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back A1 - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling A1 Group to buy it.
The correlation of A1 is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as A1 moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if A1 Group moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for A1 can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in A1 Pink Sheet

A1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether A1 Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in A1 with respect to the benefits of owning A1 security.