AUST AGRICULTURAL (Germany) Price Prediction
| AY5 Stock | 0.84 0.01 1.18% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AUST AGRICULTURAL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AUST AGRICULTURAL from the perspective of AUST AGRICULTURAL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AUST AGRICULTURAL to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AUST because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AUST AGRICULTURAL after-hype prediction price | EUR 0.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AUST |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AUST AGRICULTURAL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AUST AGRICULTURAL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AUST AGRICULTURAL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AUST AGRICULTURAL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AUST AGRICULTURAL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AUST AGRICULTURAL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AUST AGRICULTURAL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AUST AGRICULTURAL's historical news coverage. AUST AGRICULTURAL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 2.13, respectively. We have considered AUST AGRICULTURAL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AUST AGRICULTURAL is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AUST AGRICULTURAL is based on 3 months time horizon.
AUST AGRICULTURAL Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AUST AGRICULTURAL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AUST AGRICULTURAL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AUST AGRICULTURAL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.84 | 0.84 | 0.00 |
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AUST AGRICULTURAL Hype Timeline
AUST AGRICULTURAL is presently traded for 0.84on Stuttgart Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. AUST is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on AUST AGRICULTURAL is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.84. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.74. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AUST AGRICULTURAL had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out AUST AGRICULTURAL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AUST AGRICULTURAL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AUST AGRICULTURAL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AUST AGRICULTURAL's future price movements. Getting to know how AUST AGRICULTURAL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AUST AGRICULTURAL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | 0.01 | 2.24 | (2.65) | 9.79 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.36 | 0.01 | 2.28 | (2.21) | 6.17 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.01 | 1.91 | (2.15) | 7.12 | |
| APC | Apple Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | (0) | 2.96 | (2.05) | 8.21 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | (0.01) | 2.20 | (1.85) | 9.25 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.43 | (0.01) | 2.17 | (1.64) | 11.42 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | (0.01) | 2.27 | (1.75) | 9.11 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.33 | (0.01) | 2.04 | (1.53) | 9.79 | |
| MSF | Microsoft | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.21 | (0.01) | 2.10 | (1.40) | 8.71 |
AUST AGRICULTURAL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AUST price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AUST using various technical indicators. When you analyze AUST charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AUST AGRICULTURAL Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AUST AGRICULTURAL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AUST AGRICULTURAL, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AUST AGRICULTURAL based on analysis of AUST AGRICULTURAL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AUST AGRICULTURAL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AUST AGRICULTURAL's related companies.
Story Coverage note for AUST AGRICULTURAL
The number of cover stories for AUST AGRICULTURAL depends on current market conditions and AUST AGRICULTURAL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AUST AGRICULTURAL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AUST AGRICULTURAL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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AUST AGRICULTURAL Short Properties
AUST AGRICULTURAL's future price predictability will typically decrease when AUST AGRICULTURAL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AUST AGRICULTURAL often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AUST AGRICULTURAL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AUST AGRICULTURAL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 597.1 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 4.6 M |
Additional Tools for AUST Stock Analysis
When running AUST AGRICULTURAL's price analysis, check to measure AUST AGRICULTURAL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AUST AGRICULTURAL is operating at the current time. Most of AUST AGRICULTURAL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AUST AGRICULTURAL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AUST AGRICULTURAL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AUST AGRICULTURAL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.