Barclays PLC (UK) Price Prediction

BARC Stock   257.20  5.45  2.08%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Barclays PLC's the stock price is slightly above 66 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Barclays, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Barclays PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Barclays PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Barclays PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Barclays PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Barclays PLC's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.288
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.3523
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.405
Wall Street Target Price
296.19
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
7.29
Using Barclays PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barclays PLC from the perspective of Barclays PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Barclays PLC to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Barclays because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Barclays PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  GBX 257.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Barclays PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
237.40239.20282.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
255.89257.69259.48
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.050.09
Details

Barclays PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Barclays PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Barclays PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Barclays PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Barclays PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Barclays PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Barclays PLC's historical news coverage. Barclays PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 255.80 and 259.40, respectively. We have considered Barclays PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
257.20
255.80
Downside
257.60
After-hype Price
259.40
Upside
Barclays PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barclays PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Barclays PLC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Barclays PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Barclays PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Barclays PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.80
  0.40 
  0.43 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
257.20
257.60
0.16 
85.71  
Notes

Barclays PLC Hype Timeline

Barclays PLC is currently traded for 257.20on London Exchange of UK. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.4, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.43. Barclays is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 257.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 85.71%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Barclays PLC is about 80.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 257.63. The company reported the revenue of 23.5 B. Net Income was 5.26 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 23.74 B. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check out Barclays PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Barclays PLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Barclays PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Barclays PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Barclays PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Barclays PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
0HBHAir Products Chemicals 2.00 4 per month 0.68  0.10  2.50 (1.39) 11.50 
0LVKWestlake Chemical Corp 0.39 1 per month 0.00 (0.18) 2.89 (3.17) 7.74 
JDJD Sports Fashion 2.50 1 per month 0.00 (0.24) 3.63 (4.12) 20.72 
0RDIVitec Software Group 9.38 1 per month 0.00 (0.13) 3.43 (4.34) 16.59 
0HW4Charter Communications Cl 4.75 1 per month 1.75  0.03  3.72 (3.43) 16.45 
0ROZX FAB Silicon Foundries(0.04)1 per month 0.00 (0.16) 3.33 (4.77) 23.44 
0N7ICairo Communication SpA 0.02 3 per month 1.07  0.02  2.68 (1.83) 4.70 
SPTSpirent Communications plc(1.10)2 per month 0.00 (0.28) 1.17 (1.07) 3.18 

Barclays PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Barclays price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barclays using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barclays charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Barclays PLC Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Barclays PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Barclays PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Barclays PLC based on analysis of Barclays PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Barclays PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Barclays PLC's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Barclays PLC

The number of cover stories for Barclays PLC depends on current market conditions and Barclays PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Barclays PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Barclays PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Barclays PLC Short Properties

Barclays PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Barclays PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Barclays PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Barclays PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barclays PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments220.9 B

Additional Tools for Barclays Stock Analysis

When running Barclays PLC's price analysis, check to measure Barclays PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Barclays PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Barclays PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Barclays PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Barclays PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Barclays PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.