Grayscale Bitcoin Adopters Etf Price Patterns
| BCOR Etf | USD 22.77 0.02 0.09% |
Momentum 21
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Grayscale Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grayscale Bitcoin Adopters from the perspective of Grayscale Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Grayscale Bitcoin to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Grayscale because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Grayscale Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | USD 22.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Grayscale Bitcoin After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grayscale Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grayscale Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Grayscale Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grayscale Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grayscale Bitcoin's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grayscale Bitcoin's historical news coverage. Grayscale Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.79 and 25.63, respectively. We have considered Grayscale Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grayscale Bitcoin is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grayscale Bitcoin is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grayscale Bitcoin Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Grayscale Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grayscale Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grayscale Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.92 | 0.06 | 0.10 | 1 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.77 | 22.71 | 0.26 |
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Grayscale Bitcoin Hype Timeline
Grayscale Bitcoin is currently traded for 22.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Grayscale is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 22.71. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Grayscale Bitcoin is about 506.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.87. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Grayscale Bitcoin was currently reported as 7.78. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.58. Grayscale Bitcoin last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2008. The entity had 1:10 split on the 13th of September 2002. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Grayscale Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Grayscale Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grayscale Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grayscale Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how Grayscale Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grayscale Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTWAX | Vanguard Total World | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.59 | 0.04 | 1.06 | (1.21) | 3.46 | |
| VFWAX | Vanguard Ftse All World | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.47 | 0.16 | 1.36 | (1.15) | 3.18 | |
| VEU | Vanguard FTSE All World | (0.08) | 5 per month | 0.53 | 0.15 | 1.27 | (1.24) | 3.30 | |
| VV | Vanguard Large Cap Index | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.72 | (0.06) | 0.94 | (1.26) | 3.67 | |
| VLCAX | Vanguard Large Cap Index | (0.08) | 12 per month | 0.73 | (0.06) | 0.93 | (1.27) | 3.68 | |
| RSP | Invesco SP 500 | (1.08) | 7 per month | 0.47 | 0.08 | 1.42 | (1.22) | 3.45 | |
| VYM | Vanguard High Dividend | 1.46 | 8 per month | 0.45 | 0.11 | 1.21 | (1.13) | 3.51 | |
| VHYAX | Vanguard High Dividend | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.44 | 0.12 | 1.18 | (1.17) | 3.50 | |
| SCHD | Schwab Dividend Equity | 0.41 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1.67 | (0.86) | 2.87 | |
| IWM | iShares Russell 2000 | 5.28 | 11 per month | 0.89 | 0.08 | 1.98 | (1.85) | 5.63 |
Grayscale Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grayscale price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grayscale using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grayscale charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Grayscale Bitcoin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Grayscale Bitcoin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Grayscale Bitcoin Adopters, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grayscale Bitcoin based on analysis of Grayscale Bitcoin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Grayscale Bitcoin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Grayscale Bitcoin's related companies.
Pair Trading with Grayscale Bitcoin
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Grayscale Bitcoin position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Grayscale Bitcoin will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Grayscale Etf
| 0.72 | ACWV | iShares MSCI Global | PairCorr |
| 0.43 | GLOV | Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Symbol Change | PairCorr |
| 0.32 | SPGM | SPDR Portfolio MSCI | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | VT | Vanguard Total World | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Grayscale Bitcoin could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Grayscale Bitcoin when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Grayscale Bitcoin - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Grayscale Bitcoin Adopters to buy it.
The correlation of Grayscale Bitcoin is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Grayscale Bitcoin moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Grayscale Bitcoin moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Grayscale Bitcoin can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Grayscale Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Investors evaluate Grayscale Bitcoin using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Grayscale Bitcoin's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Grayscale Bitcoin's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Grayscale Bitcoin's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Grayscale Bitcoin should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Grayscale Bitcoin's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.