Bread Financial Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| BFH Stock | USD 56.80 0.38 0.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.13 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.2523 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.8433 | Wall Street Target Price 56.4093 |
Using Bread Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bread Financial Holdings from the perspective of Bread Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bread Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bread because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bread Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 56.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bread |
Bread Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bread Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bread Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bread Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bread Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bread Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bread Financial's historical news coverage. Bread Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 53.28 and 60.48, respectively. We have considered Bread Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bread Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bread Financial Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bread Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bread Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bread Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bread Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 3.60 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
56.80 | 56.88 | 0.14 |
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Bread Financial Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November Bread Financial Holdings is traded for 56.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Bread is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 56.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Bread Financial is about 869.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 56.83. The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.06 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 718 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.6 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Bread Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bread Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bread Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bread Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Bread Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bread Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SLM | SLM Corp | 0.42 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.06 | 2.97 | (2.59) | 15.03 | |
| IX | Orix Corp Ads | (0.83) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.12 | (2.89) | 8.46 | |
| FCFS | FirstCash | 1.86 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.31 | (2.42) | 9.46 | |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp | (0.05) | 7 per month | 1.14 | 0.15 | 3.00 | (2.53) | 7.31 | |
| OPRT | Oportun Financial Corp | 0.06 | 9 per month | 3.34 | (0.01) | 7.55 | (5.05) | 16.16 | |
| EZPW | EZCORP Inc | 0.04 | 10 per month | 1.31 | (0.02) | 3.43 | (2.54) | 6.51 | |
| NAVI | Navient Corp | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.27 | (3.50) | 13.67 | |
| ENVA | Enova International | 2.79 | 12 per month | 1.66 | 0.10 | 3.13 | (3.16) | 13.01 | |
| SLMBP | SLM Corp Pb | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.72 | (0.46) | 3.53 | |
| AGM-A | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.08 | 3.43 | (2.06) | 12.97 |
Bread Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bread price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bread using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bread charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bread Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bread Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bread Financial Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bread Financial based on analysis of Bread Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bread Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bread Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0127 | 0.0229 | 0.0256 | 0.0143 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.01 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.51 |
Story Coverage note for Bread Financial
The number of cover stories for Bread Financial depends on current market conditions and Bread Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bread Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bread Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bread Financial Short Properties
Bread Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bread Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bread Financial Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bread Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bread Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Complementary Tools for Bread Stock analysis
When running Bread Financial's price analysis, check to measure Bread Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bread Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Bread Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bread Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bread Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bread Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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