Bjs Wholesale Club Stock Price Prediction
| BJ Stock | USD 92.33 6.63 7.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.113 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.86 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.98 | Wall Street Target Price 88.5295 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1 |
Using BJs Wholesale hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BJs Wholesale Club from the perspective of BJs Wholesale response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
BJs Wholesale Club Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BJs Wholesale's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BJs. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BJs can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BJs Wholesale Club. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BJs Wholesale's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BJs Wholesale.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BJs Wholesale to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BJs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BJs Wholesale after-hype prediction price | USD 85.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BJs |
BJs Wholesale After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BJs Wholesale at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BJs Wholesale or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BJs Wholesale, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BJs Wholesale Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BJs Wholesale's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BJs Wholesale's historical news coverage. BJs Wholesale's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 84.53 and 86.97, respectively. We have considered BJs Wholesale's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BJs Wholesale is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BJs Wholesale Club is based on 3 months time horizon.
BJs Wholesale Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BJs Wholesale is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BJs Wholesale backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BJs Wholesale, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.22 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 11 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
92.33 | 85.75 | 0.06 |
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BJs Wholesale Hype Timeline
As of November 21, 2024 BJs Wholesale Club is listed for 92.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. BJs is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 85.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 134.07%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on BJs Wholesale is about 67.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 92.22. The company generated the yearly revenue of 19.97 B. Reported Net Income was 523.74 M with gross profit of 3.43 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out BJs Wholesale Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BJs Wholesale Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BJs Wholesale's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BJs Wholesale's future price movements. Getting to know how BJs Wholesale's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BJs Wholesale may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DKS | Dicks Sporting Goods | (5.78) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.49 | (3.16) | 9.72 | |
| WSM | Williams Sonoma | (4.42) | 10 per month | 2.35 | 0.08 | 4.52 | (3.30) | 13.79 | |
| DDS | Dillards | 4.81 | 10 per month | 1.47 | 0.08 | 5.20 | (2.64) | 12.88 |
BJs Wholesale Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BJs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BJs using various technical indicators. When you analyze BJs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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About BJs Wholesale Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BJs Wholesale stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BJs Wholesale Club, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BJs Wholesale based on analysis of BJs Wholesale hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BJs Wholesale's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BJs Wholesale's related companies. | 2010 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 9.0E-6 | 3.0E-6 | 0.27 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.22 |
Story Coverage note for BJs Wholesale
The number of cover stories for BJs Wholesale depends on current market conditions and BJs Wholesale's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BJs Wholesale is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BJs Wholesale's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BJs Wholesale Short Properties
BJs Wholesale's future price predictability will typically decrease when BJs Wholesale's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BJs Wholesale Club often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BJs Wholesale's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BJs Wholesale's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 135.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 36 M |
Check out BJs Wholesale Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BJs Wholesale. If investors know BJs will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BJs Wholesale listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.113 | Earnings Share 3.96 | Revenue Per Share 153.894 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.049 | Return On Assets 0.0733 |
The market value of BJs Wholesale Club is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BJs that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BJs Wholesale's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BJs Wholesale's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BJs Wholesale's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BJs Wholesale's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BJs Wholesale's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BJs Wholesale is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BJs Wholesale's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.