Bjs Wholesale Club Stock Price Patterns
| BJ Stock | USD 100.56 2.22 2.16% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.3675 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.6625 | Wall Street Target Price 103.65 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 1.0916 |
Using BJs Wholesale hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BJs Wholesale Club from the perspective of BJs Wholesale response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BJs Wholesale using BJs Wholesale's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BJs using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BJs Wholesale's stock price.
BJs Wholesale Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in BJs Wholesale's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BJs. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BJs Wholesale stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 100.1058 | Short Percent 0.0815 | Short Ratio 4.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.2 M | 50 Day MA 93.9978 |
BJs Wholesale Club Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to BJs Wholesale's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BJs. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BJs can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BJs Wholesale Club. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BJs Wholesale's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BJs Wholesale.
BJs Wholesale Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
BJs Wholesale's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BJs Wholesale Club stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BJs Wholesale's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BJs Wholesale stock will not fluctuate a lot when BJs Wholesale's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BJs Wholesale to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BJs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BJs Wholesale after-hype prediction price | USD 103.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current BJs contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that BJs Wholesale Club will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With BJs Wholesale trading at USD 100.56, that is roughly USD 0.0245 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating BJs Wholesale's daily price movement you should consider acquiring BJs Wholesale Club options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out BJs Wholesale Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. BJs Wholesale After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BJs Wholesale at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BJs Wholesale or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BJs Wholesale, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BJs Wholesale Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BJs Wholesale's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BJs Wholesale's historical news coverage. BJs Wholesale's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 101.42 and 105.16, respectively. We have considered BJs Wholesale's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BJs Wholesale is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BJs Wholesale Club is based on 3 months time horizon.
BJs Wholesale Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BJs Wholesale is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BJs Wholesale backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BJs Wholesale, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.87 | 0.51 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
100.56 | 103.29 | 0.50 |
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BJs Wholesale Hype Timeline
As of February 17, 2026 BJs Wholesale Club is listed for 100.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.51, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. BJs is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 103.29 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 76.64%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on BJs Wholesale is about 786.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 100.51. The company generated the yearly revenue of 20.5 B. Reported Net Income was 534.42 M with gross profit of 3.94 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out BJs Wholesale Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BJs Wholesale Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BJs Wholesale's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BJs Wholesale's future price movements. Getting to know how BJs Wholesale's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BJs Wholesale may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HRL | Hormel Foods | 0.31 | 9 per month | 1.11 | 0.05 | 2.76 | (2.09) | 6.59 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | (0.45) | 9 per month | 1.40 | 0.07 | 2.99 | (2.36) | 8.47 | |
| BF-B | Brown Forman | 0.38 | 10 per month | 1.87 | 0.05 | 3.16 | (2.87) | 8.35 | |
| CLX | The Clorox | 1.43 | 8 per month | 1.16 | 0.16 | 2.44 | (2.20) | 7.64 | |
| ACI | Albertsons Companies | 0.03 | 8 per month | 1.66 | 0.03 | 3.32 | (2.51) | 8.43 | |
| OLLI | Ollies Bargain Outlet | (1.52) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.30 | (2.82) | 9.34 | |
| SJM | The J M | (0.38) | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.01 | 2.52 | (2.14) | 5.45 | |
| SFM | Sprouts Farmers Market | (0.87) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.98 | (3.58) | 12.94 | |
| EDU | New Oriental Education | (1.07) | 9 per month | 1.86 | 0.03 | 3.07 | (3.38) | 9.57 |
BJs Wholesale Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BJs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BJs using various technical indicators. When you analyze BJs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
About BJs Wholesale Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BJs Wholesale stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BJs Wholesale Club, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BJs Wholesale based on analysis of BJs Wholesale hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BJs Wholesale's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BJs Wholesale's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 13.8 | 13.35 | 15.36 | 14.69 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 32.53 | 32.91 | 37.84 | 37.98 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out BJs Wholesale Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
What growth prospects exist in Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail sector? Can BJs capture new markets? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BJs Wholesale. Projected growth potential of BJs fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Valuation analysis balances hard financial data with qualitative growth assessments. While each BJs Wholesale valuation metric matters, prioritizing which indicators carry greater predictive weight remains essential.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Earnings Share 4.34 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.049 | Return On Assets |
Understanding BJs Wholesale Club requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects BJs's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what BJs Wholesale's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investment professionals apply varied valuation frameworks to compute inherent worth and acquire positions when market prices trade at discounts to calculated value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push BJs Wholesale's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between BJs Wholesale's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding BJs Wholesale should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, BJs Wholesale's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.