Broadstone Net Lease Stock Price Prediction

BNL Stock  USD 17.25  0.07  0.41%   
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Broadstone Net's share price is approaching 40 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Broadstone Net, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Broadstone Net's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Broadstone Net and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Broadstone Net's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Broadstone Net Lease, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Broadstone Net's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.29)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.6992
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.7497
Wall Street Target Price
19.25
Using Broadstone Net hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Broadstone Net Lease from the perspective of Broadstone Net response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Broadstone Net to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Broadstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Broadstone Net after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Broadstone Net Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5318.3919.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.3517.3118.27
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
17.4719.2021.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.170.170.17
Details

Broadstone Net After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Broadstone Net at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Broadstone Net or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Broadstone Net, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Broadstone Net Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Broadstone Net's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Broadstone Net's historical news coverage. Broadstone Net's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.26 and 18.18, respectively. We have considered Broadstone Net's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17.25
17.22
After-hype Price
18.18
Upside
Broadstone Net is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Broadstone Net Lease is based on 3 months time horizon.

Broadstone Net Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Broadstone Net is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Broadstone Net backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Broadstone Net, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.96
  0.03 
 0.00  
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.25
17.22
0.17 
240.00  
Notes

Broadstone Net Hype Timeline

On the 24th of November Broadstone Net Lease is traded for 17.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Broadstone is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 17.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.17%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Broadstone Net is about 2909.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.25. About 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.08. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Broadstone Net Lease last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Broadstone Net Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Broadstone Net Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Broadstone Net's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Broadstone Net's future price movements. Getting to know how Broadstone Net's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Broadstone Net may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SRCSpirit Realty Capital 0.00 0 per month 0.98  0.04  2.34 (1.72) 6.41 
AHHArmada Hflr Pr 0.03 8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 1.63 (1.74) 11.25 
BRSPBrightspire Capital 0.01 6 per month 1.44  0.04  3.10 (2.74) 22.56 
SAFESafehold(0.72)11 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.70 (3.71) 10.10 
EPRTEssential Properties Realty 0.17 9 per month 0.94 (0) 1.67 (1.77) 4.84 
CTOCTO Realty Growth 0.22 8 per month 2.18  0.01  2.27 (1.39) 19.07 
AHH-PAArmada Hoffler Properties 0.00 0 per month 0.69 (0.04) 1.81 (1.23) 5.47 
OLPOne Liberty Properties 0.70 8 per month 0.96  0.05  2.55 (1.97) 7.70 
CTO-PACTO Realty Growth 0.00 0 per month 1.31 (0.04) 2.11 (2.43) 7.56 
MDVModiv Inc(0.08)9 per month 1.76  0.0003  3.54 (2.22) 10.64 

Broadstone Net Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Broadstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Broadstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Broadstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Broadstone Net Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Broadstone Net stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Broadstone Net Lease, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Broadstone Net based on analysis of Broadstone Net hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Broadstone Net's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Broadstone Net's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04070.06580.06460.0678
Price To Sales Ratio9.926.767.2611.8

Story Coverage note for Broadstone Net

The number of cover stories for Broadstone Net depends on current market conditions and Broadstone Net's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Broadstone Net is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Broadstone Net's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Broadstone Net Short Properties

Broadstone Net's future price predictability will typically decrease when Broadstone Net's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Broadstone Net Lease often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Broadstone Net's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Broadstone Net's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding196.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.5 M
When determining whether Broadstone Net Lease is a strong investment it is important to analyze Broadstone Net's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Broadstone Net's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Broadstone Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Broadstone Net Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Broadstone Net. If investors know Broadstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Broadstone Net listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.29)
Dividend Share
1.15
Earnings Share
0.75
Revenue Per Share
2.268
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Broadstone Net Lease is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Broadstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Broadstone Net's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Broadstone Net's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Broadstone Net's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Broadstone Net's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Broadstone Net's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Broadstone Net is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Broadstone Net's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.