Bitwise Funds Trust Etf Price Patterns
| BTOP Etf | USD 27.82 0.01 0.04% |
Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bitwise Funds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bitwise Funds Trust from the perspective of Bitwise Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bitwise Funds using Bitwise Funds' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bitwise using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bitwise Funds' stock price.
Bitwise Funds Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
Bitwise Funds' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bitwise Funds Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bitwise Funds' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bitwise Funds stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bitwise Funds' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bitwise Funds to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bitwise because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bitwise Funds after-hype prediction price | USD 27.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Bitwise contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Bitwise Funds Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Bitwise Funds trading at USD 27.82, that is roughly USD 0.011 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Bitwise Funds' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Bitwise Funds Trust options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Bitwise Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Bitwise Funds After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bitwise Funds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bitwise Funds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Bitwise Funds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bitwise Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bitwise Funds' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bitwise Funds' historical news coverage. Bitwise Funds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.96 and 29.70, respectively. We have considered Bitwise Funds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bitwise Funds is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bitwise Funds Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bitwise Funds Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Bitwise Funds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bitwise Funds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bitwise Funds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.87 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
27.82 | 27.83 | 0.04 |
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Bitwise Funds Hype Timeline
Bitwise Funds Trust is currently traded for 27.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Bitwise is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 27.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Bitwise Funds is about 7272.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 27.82. Net Loss for the year was (7.52 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 33 K. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Bitwise Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bitwise Funds Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bitwise Funds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bitwise Funds' future price movements. Getting to know how Bitwise Funds' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bitwise Funds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SMCF | Themes Small Cap | 0.11 | 1 per month | 0.66 | 0.13 | 2.09 | (1.31) | 4.21 | |
| SKRE | Tuttle Capital Daily | (0.05) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 2.41 | (5.84) | 17.01 | |
| RND | First Trust Bloomberg | 0.01 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.37 | (1.95) | 4.88 | |
| USRD | Themes RD Champions | (0.05) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.53 | (1.88) | 4.51 | |
| JDOC | JPMorgan Healthcare Leaders | (0.18) | 2 per month | 0.46 | 0.05 | 1.80 | (1.19) | 3.82 | |
| JDIV | JP Morgan Exchange Traded | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.70 | (0.02) | 1.12 | (1.22) | 3.69 | |
| BEEZ | Honeytree Equity ETF | 0.02 | 3 per month | 0.76 | (0.05) | 1.55 | (1.23) | 4.18 |
Bitwise Funds Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bitwise price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bitwise using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bitwise charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bitwise Funds Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bitwise Funds stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bitwise Funds Trust, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bitwise Funds based on analysis of Bitwise Funds hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bitwise Funds's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bitwise Funds's related companies.
Pair Trading with Bitwise Funds
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Bitwise Funds position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Bitwise Funds will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Bitwise Etf
| 0.77 | GAPR | First Trust Exchange | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | SIL | Global X Silver | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | MUU | Direxion Daily MU | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | JNUG | Direxion Daily Junior | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | SIVR | abrdn Physical Silver | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | MART | Allianzim Large Cap | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Bitwise Funds could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Bitwise Funds when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Bitwise Funds - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Bitwise Funds Trust to buy it.
The correlation of Bitwise Funds is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Bitwise Funds moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Bitwise Funds Trust moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Bitwise Funds can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Bitwise Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Investors evaluate Bitwise Funds Trust using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Bitwise Funds' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Bitwise Funds' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Bitwise Funds' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Bitwise Funds should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Bitwise Funds' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.