BW LPG (Germany) Price Prediction
| BW9 Stock | EUR 12.70 0.34 2.61% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BW LPG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BW LPG Limited from the perspective of BW LPG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BW LPG to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BW9 because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
BW LPG after-hype prediction price | EUR 12.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BW9 |
BW LPG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BW LPG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BW LPG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BW LPG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BW LPG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BW LPG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BW LPG's historical news coverage. BW LPG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.76 and 15.64, respectively. We have considered BW LPG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BW LPG is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BW LPG Limited is based on 3 months time horizon.
BW LPG Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BW LPG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BW LPG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BW LPG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.70 | 12.70 | 0.00 |
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BW LPG Hype Timeline
BW LPG Limited is currently traded for 12.70on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BW9 is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on BW LPG is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.70. About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.78. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BW LPG Limited last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out BW LPG Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.BW LPG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BW LPG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BW LPG's future price movements. Getting to know how BW LPG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BW LPG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| J9T | CODERE ONLINE LUX | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.35 | (0.04) | 3.50 | (2.84) | 20.65 | |
| BOQ | BOS BETTER ONLINE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CMW | China Communications Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | 0.01 | 4.00 | (2.33) | 12.15 | |
| G03 | GungHo Online Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.87 | (0.04) | 3.65 | (3.26) | 15.56 | |
| 3RW | VIRGIN WINES UK | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BED | Marie Brizard Wine | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.15 | (0.03) | 2.36 | (2.31) | 19.53 | |
| COA1 | COMBA TELECOM SYST | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.78 | |
| BAC | Verizon Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.23 | 0.07 | 2.41 | (1.83) | 7.53 |
BW LPG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BW9 price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BW9 using various technical indicators. When you analyze BW9 charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About BW LPG Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of BW LPG stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BW LPG Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BW LPG based on analysis of BW LPG hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BW LPG's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BW LPG's related companies.
Story Coverage note for BW LPG
The number of cover stories for BW LPG depends on current market conditions and BW LPG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BW LPG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BW LPG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Complementary Tools for BW9 Stock analysis
When running BW LPG's price analysis, check to measure BW LPG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BW LPG is operating at the current time. Most of BW LPG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BW LPG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BW LPG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BW LPG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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