Capitol Health (Australia) Price Prediction
| CAJ Stock | 0.37 0.01 2.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.381 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.01 | Wall Street Target Price 0.3174 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.05 |
Using Capitol Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capitol Health from the perspective of Capitol Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Capitol Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Capitol because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Capitol Health after-hype prediction price | AUD 0.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Capitol |
Capitol Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capitol Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capitol Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capitol Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capitol Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capitol Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capitol Health's historical news coverage. Capitol Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 2.59, respectively. We have considered Capitol Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capitol Health is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capitol Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capitol Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capitol Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capitol Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capitol Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 2.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.37 | 0.37 | 0.00 |
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Capitol Health Hype Timeline
Capitol Health is currently traded for 0.37on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Capitol is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Capitol Health is about 94583.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.37. About 37.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Capitol Health was currently reported as 0.1. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.01. Capitol Health last dividend was issued on the 20th of September 2024. The entity had 1.0058:1 split on the 20th of October 2009. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Capitol Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Capitol Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capitol Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capitol Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Capitol Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capitol Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IVT | Inventis | (0) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.41 | |
| PGF | PM Capital Global | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.83 | (0.06) | 1.73 | (1.37) | 5.29 | |
| MQGPD | Macquarie Group Ltd | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.42 | (0.23) | 0.59 | (0.72) | 4.04 | |
| WLE | Wam Leaders | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.55 | (1.59) | 5.38 | |
| GVF | Staude Capital Global | (0.01) | 1 per month | 1.03 | (0.01) | 1.65 | (2.33) | 9.40 |
Capitol Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capitol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capitol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capitol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Capitol Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Capitol Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Capitol Health, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capitol Health based on analysis of Capitol Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Capitol Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Capitol Health's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Capitol Health
The number of cover stories for Capitol Health depends on current market conditions and Capitol Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capitol Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capitol Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Capitol Health Short Properties
Capitol Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Capitol Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capitol Health often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capitol Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capitol Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 24.2 M |
Additional Tools for Capitol Stock Analysis
When running Capitol Health's price analysis, check to measure Capitol Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capitol Health is operating at the current time. Most of Capitol Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capitol Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capitol Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capitol Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.