Cal Maine Foods Stock Price Patterns
| CALM Stock | USD 83.53 1.03 1.25% |
Momentum 44
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.785 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.875 | Wall Street Target Price 87.75 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.005 |
Using Cal Maine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cal Maine Foods from the perspective of Cal Maine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cal Maine using Cal Maine's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cal Maine's stock price.
Cal Maine Short Interest
An investor who is long Cal Maine may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cal Maine and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cal Maine with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 95.1391 | Short Percent 0.1435 | Short Ratio 3.94 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.1 M | 50 Day MA 82.2844 |
Cal Maine Foods Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Cal Maine's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cal Maine Foods. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cal Maine's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cal Maine.
Cal Maine Implied Volatility | 0.38 |
Cal Maine's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cal Maine Foods stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cal Maine's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cal Maine stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cal Maine's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cal Maine to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cal Maine after-hype prediction price | USD 83.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cal contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cal Maine Foods will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0238% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Cal Maine trading at USD 83.53, that is roughly USD 0.0198 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cal Maine's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cal Maine Foods options at the current volatility level of 0.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Cal Maine After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cal Maine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cal Maine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cal Maine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cal Maine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cal Maine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cal Maine's historical news coverage. Cal Maine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.80 and 85.04, respectively. We have considered Cal Maine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cal Maine is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cal Maine Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cal Maine Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cal Maine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cal Maine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cal Maine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.60 | 0.11 | 0.26 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
83.53 | 83.42 | 0.13 |
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Cal Maine Hype Timeline
Cal Maine Foods is currently traded for 83.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.26. Cal is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 83.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 103.9%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Cal Maine is about 43.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.79. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.48. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cal Maine Foods has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.75. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 23.67. The firm last dividend was issued on the 28th of January 2026. Cal Maine had 2:1 split on the 3rd of November 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cal Maine Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cal Maine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cal Maine's future price movements. Getting to know how Cal Maine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cal Maine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AGRO | Adecoagro SA | 0.15 | 10 per month | 2.39 | 0.05 | 4.63 | (3.39) | 11.00 | |
| GHC | Graham Holdings Co | 28.11 | 10 per month | 0.98 | 0.1 | 2.72 | (1.85) | 7.85 | |
| MZTI | The Marzetti | 3.67 | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.03 | 2.35 | (1.93) | 12.08 | |
| BRBR | Bellring Brands LLC | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 7.42 | (6.93) | 20.81 | |
| LAUR | Laureate Education | 0.96 | 9 per month | 1.98 | 0.08 | 3.64 | (2.34) | 18.76 | |
| DAR | Darling Ingredients | (0.36) | 11 per month | 1.50 | 0.18 | 4.51 | (2.74) | 10.67 | |
| COTY | Coty Inc | (0.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.61 | (4.14) | 9.89 | |
| VITL | Vital Farms | 0.06 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.50 | (5.75) | 22.88 | |
| PSMT | PriceSmart | 0.84 | 11 per month | 1.49 | 0.11 | 3.54 | (2.32) | 9.74 |
Cal Maine Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cal Maine Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cal Maine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cal Maine Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cal Maine based on analysis of Cal Maine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cal Maine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cal Maine's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0306 | 0.0707 | 0.0636 | 0.0668 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.29 | 1.1 | 0.99 | 0.65 |
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could Cal diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cal Maine. Projected growth potential of Cal fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cal Maine data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.52) | Dividend Share 7.945 | Earnings Share 23.67 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) |
The market value of Cal Maine Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cal Maine's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cal Maine's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Cal Maine's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cal Maine's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cal Maine's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cal Maine should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Cal Maine's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.