Cal Maine Foods Stock Price Prediction

CALM Stock  USD 91.04  0.00  0.00%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Cal Maine's share price is at 53 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cal Maine, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 53

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Cal Maine's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cal Maine and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cal Maine's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cal Maine Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cal Maine's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.796
EPS Estimate Current Year
15.59
EPS Estimate Next Year
4.69
Wall Street Target Price
102.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
4.25
Using Cal Maine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cal Maine Foods from the perspective of Cal Maine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cal Maine using Cal Maine's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cal using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cal Maine's stock price.

Cal Maine Short Interest

An investor who is long Cal Maine may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Cal Maine and may potentially protect profits, hedge Cal Maine with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
81.3402
Short Percent
0.1526
Short Ratio
5.33
Shares Short Prior Month
3.7 M
50 Day MA
106.0258

Cal Maine Foods Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Cal Maine's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Cal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Cal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Cal Maine Foods. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
PricesInvestor Sentiment100%
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Cal Maine's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Cal Maine.

Cal Maine Implied Volatility

    
  0.61  
Cal Maine's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cal Maine Foods stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cal Maine's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cal Maine stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cal Maine's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cal Maine to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cal because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cal Maine after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 90.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Cal contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Cal Maine Foods will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0381% per day over the life of the 2025-05-16 option contract. With Cal Maine trading at USD 91.04, that is roughly USD 0.0347 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Cal Maine's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Cal Maine Foods options at the current volatility level of 0.61%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.8191.7694.71
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
93.28102.50113.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.795.795.79
Details

Cal Maine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cal Maine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cal Maine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cal Maine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.1589.489.5589.789.8590.090.1590.390.4590.6 Price after next news: 90 0.046050.046100.046150.04620
       Expected price to next headline  

Cal Maine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cal Maine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cal Maine's historical news coverage. Cal Maine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.05 and 92.95, respectively. We have considered Cal Maine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
91.04
90.00
After-hype Price
92.95
Upside
Cal Maine is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cal Maine Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cal Maine Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cal Maine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cal Maine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cal Maine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
2.94
  0.03 
  0.01 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
91.04
90.00
0.01 
565.38  
Notes

Cal Maine Hype Timeline

Cal Maine Foods is currently traded for 91.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Cal is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 90.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.01%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Cal Maine is about 1976.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.03. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Cal Maine was currently reported as 41.71. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.75. Cal Maine Foods recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.86. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of January 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 3rd of November 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15Bunny Portfolio Gained 15.5 percentLast Year But Trailed the MarketDOLE @ financeFDP @ financeLMNR @ businesswireLMNR @ insidermonkeyALCO @ financeFDP @ gurufocusBG @ talkmarketsLMNR @ MacroaxisInsiderALCO @ thelincolnianonlineAGRO @ zacksLMNR @ newsALCO @ gurufocus115.8TSN @ seekingalphaDOLE @ zacksADM @ financeTSN @ apnewsBG @ kalkinemediaBG @ financeTSN @ financeDOLE @ washingtonexaminerADM @ washingtonexaminerTSN @ zacksFDP @ thelincolnianonlineJanFeb
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.15DecJanFeb

Cal Maine Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cal Maine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cal Maine's future price movements. Getting to know how Cal Maine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cal Maine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BGBunge Limited(1.37)6 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.79 (2.17) 11.84 
TSNTyson Foods 0.45 8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.84 (2.15) 5.59 
DOLEDole PLC(0.13)9 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.00 (2.79) 10.72 
AGROAdecoagro SA(0.03)7 per month 0.00 (0.03) 1.78 (3.02) 9.72 
LMNRLimoneira Co(0.86)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.69 (4.10) 10.70 
ALCOAlico Inc 0.10 8 per month 1.54  0.07  3.61 (2.82) 23.20 
ADMArcher Daniels Midland 0.44 10 per month 0.00 (0.1) 2.12 (2.63) 8.36 
FDPFresh Del Monte 0.21 10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 1.38 (1.90) 8.03 

Cal Maine Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cal Maine Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cal Maine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cal Maine Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cal Maine based on analysis of Cal Maine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cal Maine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cal Maine's related companies.
 2013 2019 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02320.03060.01460.0176
Price To Sales Ratio1.321.291.160.66

Story Coverage note for Cal Maine

The number of cover stories for Cal Maine depends on current market conditions and Cal Maine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cal Maine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cal Maine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cal Maine Short Properties

Cal Maine's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cal Maine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cal Maine Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cal Maine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cal Maine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding48.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments812.4 M
When determining whether Cal Maine Foods is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cal Maine's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cal Maine's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cal Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cal Maine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cal Maine. If investors know Cal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cal Maine listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.796
Dividend Share
4.276
Earnings Share
12.86
Revenue Per Share
63.267
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.825
The market value of Cal Maine Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cal Maine's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cal Maine's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cal Maine's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cal Maine's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cal Maine's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cal Maine is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cal Maine's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

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