CAR GROUP (Australia) Price Prediction
| CAR Stock | 41.78 0.53 1.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
70
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.45) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.89 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.01 | Wall Street Target Price 38.0667 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.263 |
Using CAR GROUP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CAR GROUP LIMITED from the perspective of CAR GROUP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CAR GROUP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CAR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CAR GROUP after-hype prediction price | AUD 41.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CAR |
CAR GROUP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CAR GROUP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CAR GROUP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CAR GROUP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CAR GROUP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CAR GROUP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CAR GROUP's historical news coverage. CAR GROUP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 40.51 and 43.05, respectively. We have considered CAR GROUP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CAR GROUP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CAR GROUP LIMITED is based on 3 months time horizon.
CAR GROUP Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CAR GROUP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CAR GROUP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CAR GROUP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 1.27 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
41.78 | 41.78 | 0.00 |
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CAR GROUP Hype Timeline
CAR GROUP LIMITED is currently traded for 41.78on Australian Securities Exchange of Australia. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. CAR is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on CAR GROUP is about 46789.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 41.78. About 37.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of September 2024. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out CAR GROUP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CAR GROUP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CAR GROUP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CAR GROUP's future price movements. Getting to know how CAR GROUP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CAR GROUP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| RG8 | REGAL ASIAN INVESTMENTS | 0.01 | 3 per month | 1.52 | (0) | 3.09 | (2.93) | 8.61 | |
| RHI | Red Hill Iron | (0.07) | 2 per month | 2.57 | 0.07 | 6.32 | (4.31) | 15.94 | |
| HPI | Hotel Property Investments | 0.02 | 2 per month | 1.04 | 0.01 | 1.49 | (1.13) | 13.06 | |
| MGX | Mount Gibson Iron | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.45 | (3.23) | 15.73 | |
| IRD | Iron Road | 0 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.06 | (6.25) | 17.49 | |
| IBC | Ironbark Capital | (0.01) | 1 per month | 0.67 | (0.12) | 2.17 | (2.13) | 6.57 | |
| ASG | Autosports Group | 0.03 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.35 | (3.11) | 11.76 |
CAR GROUP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CAR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CAR using various technical indicators. When you analyze CAR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CAR GROUP Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CAR GROUP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CAR GROUP LIMITED, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CAR GROUP based on analysis of CAR GROUP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CAR GROUP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CAR GROUP's related companies.
Story Coverage note for CAR GROUP
The number of cover stories for CAR GROUP depends on current market conditions and CAR GROUP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CAR GROUP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CAR GROUP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CAR GROUP Short Properties
CAR GROUP's future price predictability will typically decrease when CAR GROUP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CAR GROUP LIMITED often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CAR GROUP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CAR GROUP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 377.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 308.3 M |
Additional Tools for CAR Stock Analysis
When running CAR GROUP's price analysis, check to measure CAR GROUP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CAR GROUP is operating at the current time. Most of CAR GROUP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CAR GROUP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CAR GROUP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CAR GROUP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.