Cato Corporation Stock Price Patterns
| CATO Stock | USD 3.00 0.03 0.99% |
Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 63.254 | Wall Street Target Price 23 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 |
Using Cato hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cato Corporation from the perspective of Cato response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cato using Cato's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cato using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cato's stock price.
Cato Implied Volatility | 1.28 |
Cato's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cato Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cato's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cato stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cato's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cato to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cato because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cato after-hype prediction price | USD 2.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Cato Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cato's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cato After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cato at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cato or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cato, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cato Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cato's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cato's historical news coverage. Cato's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 6.41, respectively. We have considered Cato's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cato is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cato is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cato Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cato is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cato backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cato, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 3.43 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.00 | 2.98 | 0.67 |
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Cato Hype Timeline
Cato is currently traded for 3.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Cato is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.67%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Cato is about 21437.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.00. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.35. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cato has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.54. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.0. The firm last dividend was issued on the 16th of September 2024. Cato had 3:2 split on the 28th of June 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Cato Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cato Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cato's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cato's future price movements. Getting to know how Cato's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cato may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BIRD | Allbirds | (0.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 3.93 | (7.77) | 23.00 | |
| UFI | Unifi Inc | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.80 | (5.47) | 24.16 | |
| RGS | Regis Common | 0.22 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 3.61 | (4.48) | 11.69 | |
| LCUT | Lifetime Brands | 0.07 | 11 per month | 2.70 | 0.04 | 5.50 | (4.39) | 17.13 | |
| VRA | Vera Bradley | 0.05 | 9 per month | 5.44 | 0.03 | 10.47 | (7.17) | 35.49 | |
| GP | GreenPower Motor | (0.15) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 7.89 | (10.58) | 61.80 | |
| STKS | One Group Hospitality | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.75 | (5.69) | 28.79 | |
| NVFY | Nova Lifestyle I | 0.32 | 8 per month | 3.04 | 0.19 | 11.36 | (7.81) | 68.23 | |
| DXLG | Destination XL Group | (0.20) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.61 | (6.93) | 71.37 | |
| DLTH | Duluth Holdings | (0.01) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.95 | (5.12) | 38.26 |
Cato Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cato price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cato using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cato charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cato Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cato stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cato Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cato based on analysis of Cato hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cato's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cato's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0725 | 0.16 | 0.15 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.26 | 0.0992 | 0.11 |
Pair Trading with Cato
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cato position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cato will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Cato Stock
Moving against Cato Stock
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| 0.62 | OBYCF | Obayashi Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.62 | BNKHF | BOC Hong Kong | PairCorr |
| 0.48 | SHPHF | Sihuan Pharmaceutical | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | ABEV | Ambev SA ADR Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
| 0.46 | NFG | National Fuel Gas | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cato could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cato when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cato - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cato Corporation to buy it.
The correlation of Cato is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cato moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cato moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cato can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Cato Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Will Specialty Retail sector continue expanding? Could Cato diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cato. Projected growth potential of Cato fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Cato data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 63.254 | Earnings Share (1.00) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.047 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Cato is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cato that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cato's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cato's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Cato's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cato's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Cato's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cato should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Cato's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.