Castello Branco (Brazil) Price Prediction
| CBOP11 Fund | BRL 24.00 0.50 2.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Castello Branco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Castello Branco Off from the perspective of Castello Branco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Castello Branco to buy its fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Castello because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Castello Branco after-hype prediction price | BRL 24.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Castello |
Castello Branco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Castello Branco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Castello Branco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of Castello Branco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Castello Branco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Castello Branco's fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Castello Branco's historical news coverage. Castello Branco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 22.22 and 25.78, respectively. We have considered Castello Branco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Castello Branco is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Castello Branco Off is based on 3 months time horizon.
Castello Branco Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as Castello Branco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Castello Branco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Castello Branco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.00 | 24.00 | 0.00 |
|
Castello Branco Hype Timeline
Castello Branco Off is currently traded for 24.00on Sao Paulo Exchange of Brazil. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Castello is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Castello Branco is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.00. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2017. Castello Branco Off had a split on the 18th of April 2018. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Castello Branco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Castello Branco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Castello Branco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Castello Branco's future price movements. Getting to know how Castello Branco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Castello Branco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CBOP11 | Castello Branco Off | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.02 | (2.20) | 13.52 | |
| FISC11 | FDO INV IMOB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NCHB11 | Real Estate Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.54 | (1.39) | 6.83 | |
| NCRI11 | NAVI CRDITO IMOBILIRIO | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.40 | (3.49) | 11.93 | |
| LIFE11 | LIFE CAPITAL PARTNERS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.37 | (2.25) | 6.84 | |
| HGPO11 | Cshg Jhsf Prime | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.11 | (0.86) | 63.08 | |
| KORE11 | Kinea Oportunidades Real | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.12 | (3.45) | 9.02 | |
| BTLG11 | BTG Pactual Logstica | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.98 | (1.29) | 4.73 | |
| RBRM11 | RBRM11 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Castello Branco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Castello price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Castello using various technical indicators. When you analyze Castello charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Castello Branco Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Castello Branco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Castello Branco Off, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Castello Branco based on analysis of Castello Branco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Castello Branco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Castello Branco's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Castello Branco
The number of cover stories for Castello Branco depends on current market conditions and Castello Branco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Castello Branco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Castello Branco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Castello Branco Short Properties
Castello Branco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Castello Branco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Castello Branco Off often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Castello Branco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Castello Branco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 2.59k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 3.23k |
Other Information on Investing in Castello Fund
Castello Branco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Castello Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Castello with respect to the benefits of owning Castello Branco security.
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance |