China De Xiao Stock Price Patterns

CDXQ Stock   0.0002  0.0001  100.00%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of China De's share price is approaching 31 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling China De, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 31

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China De's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China De Xiao, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China De hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China De Xiao from the perspective of China De response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China De to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China De after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.23E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out China De Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China De's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000220.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000060.000320.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

China De After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China De at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China De or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China De, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China De Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China De's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China De's historical news coverage. China De's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 20.02, respectively. We have considered China De's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0002
0.0001
After-hype Price
20.02
Upside
China De is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China De Xiao is based on 3 months time horizon.

China De Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China De is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China De backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China De, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.59 
20.02
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0002
0.0001
38.61 
0.00  
Notes

China De Hype Timeline

China De Xiao is currently traded for 0.0002. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.23E-4. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -38.61%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.59%. The volatility of related hype on China De is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out China De Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China De Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China De's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China De's future price movements. Getting to know how China De's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China De may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

China De Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China De Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China De stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China De Xiao, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China De based on analysis of China De hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China De's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China De's related companies.

Pair Trading with China De

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if China De position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in China De will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against China Pink Sheet

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to China De could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace China De when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back China De - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling China De Xiao to buy it.
The correlation of China De is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as China De moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if China De Xiao moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for China De can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for China Pink Sheet Analysis

When running China De's price analysis, check to measure China De's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China De is operating at the current time. Most of China De's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China De's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China De's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China De to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.