CATLIN GROUP (UK) Price Prediction
| CGL Stock | 95.00 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
Wall Street Target Price 119 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
Using CATLIN GROUP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CATLIN GROUP from the perspective of CATLIN GROUP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CATLIN GROUP to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CATLIN because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CATLIN GROUP after-hype prediction price | GBX 95.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CATLIN |
CATLIN GROUP After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CATLIN GROUP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CATLIN GROUP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CATLIN GROUP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CATLIN GROUP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CATLIN GROUP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CATLIN GROUP's historical news coverage. CATLIN GROUP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.08 and 95.92, respectively. We have considered CATLIN GROUP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CATLIN GROUP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CATLIN GROUP is based on 3 months time horizon.
CATLIN GROUP Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CATLIN GROUP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CATLIN GROUP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CATLIN GROUP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
95.00 | 95.00 | 0.00 |
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CATLIN GROUP Hype Timeline
CATLIN GROUP is currently traded for 95.00on London Exchange of UK. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.14. CATLIN is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on CATLIN GROUP is about 59.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 94.86. About 70.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CATLIN GROUP had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out CATLIN GROUP Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CATLIN GROUP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CATLIN GROUP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CATLIN GROUP's future price movements. Getting to know how CATLIN GROUP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CATLIN GROUP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EUZ | Europa Metals | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 2.27 | (2.38) | 37.92 | |
| 0RKH | BW Offshore | (0.32) | 1 per month | 2.81 | (0.04) | 3.21 | (4.12) | 16.63 | |
| 0G2Z | Solstad Offshore ASA | 0.49 | 1 per month | 2.94 | (0) | 5.25 | (5.86) | 13.77 | |
| WPM | Wheaton Precious Metals | (10.00) | 2 per month | 3.13 | 0.02 | 4.95 | (4.25) | 18.21 | |
| HOC | Hochschild Mining plc | (1.00) | 3 per month | 2.97 | 0.02 | 6.30 | (5.36) | 16.16 | |
| 0QHX | Odfjell Drilling | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.76 | (3.55) | 9.71 | |
| GRX | GreenX Metals | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.48 | (4.76) | 44.49 |
CATLIN GROUP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CATLIN price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CATLIN using various technical indicators. When you analyze CATLIN charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CATLIN GROUP Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CATLIN GROUP stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CATLIN GROUP , already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CATLIN GROUP based on analysis of CATLIN GROUP hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CATLIN GROUP's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CATLIN GROUP's related companies.
Story Coverage note for CATLIN GROUP
The number of cover stories for CATLIN GROUP depends on current market conditions and CATLIN GROUP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CATLIN GROUP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CATLIN GROUP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CATLIN GROUP Short Properties
CATLIN GROUP's future price predictability will typically decrease when CATLIN GROUP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CATLIN GROUP often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CATLIN GROUP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CATLIN GROUP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 274.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 131 K |
Complementary Tools for CATLIN Stock analysis
When running CATLIN GROUP's price analysis, check to measure CATLIN GROUP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CATLIN GROUP is operating at the current time. Most of CATLIN GROUP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CATLIN GROUP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CATLIN GROUP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CATLIN GROUP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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