Chesapeake Utilities (Germany) Price Prediction

CH5 Stock  EUR 121.00  2.00  1.63%   
The value of RSI of Chesapeake Utilities' the stock price is roughly 63 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 22nd of November 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Chesapeake, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

63

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chesapeake Utilities' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chesapeake Utilities and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chesapeake Utilities' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chesapeake Utilities, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Chesapeake Utilities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chesapeake Utilities from the perspective of Chesapeake Utilities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chesapeake Utilities to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chesapeake because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Chesapeake Utilities after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 121.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Chesapeake Utilities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Chesapeake Stock please use our How to Invest in Chesapeake Utilities guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
108.90138.76140.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
122.77124.18125.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
102.62112.94123.27
Details

Chesapeake Utilities After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chesapeake Utilities at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chesapeake Utilities or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chesapeake Utilities, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chesapeake Utilities Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chesapeake Utilities' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chesapeake Utilities' historical news coverage. Chesapeake Utilities' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.58 and 122.42, respectively. We have considered Chesapeake Utilities' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
121.00
119.58
Downside
121.00
After-hype Price
122.42
Upside
Chesapeake Utilities is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chesapeake Utilities is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chesapeake Utilities Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chesapeake Utilities is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chesapeake Utilities backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chesapeake Utilities, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.24 
1.42
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
121.00
121.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Chesapeake Utilities Hype Timeline

Chesapeake Utilities is currently traded for 121.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chesapeake is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.24%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chesapeake Utilities is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 121.00. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Chesapeake Utilities was currently reported as 46.94. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.68. Chesapeake Utilities last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2023. The entity had 3:2 split on the 9th of September 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Chesapeake Utilities Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Chesapeake Stock please use our How to Invest in Chesapeake Utilities guide.

Chesapeake Utilities Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chesapeake Utilities' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chesapeake Utilities' future price movements. Getting to know how Chesapeake Utilities' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chesapeake Utilities may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SNMSnam SpA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.38 (1.55) 4.79 
8SPSuperior Plus Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.43 (4.74) 21.59 
6NMNMI Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.75 (0.03) 2.79 (2.69) 9.64 
39O1Origin Agritech 0.00 0 per month 3.52  0.05  9.64 (5.38) 34.42 
2DGSIVERS SEMICONDUCTORS AB 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.26) 6.06 (8.57) 52.42 
TLXTalanx AG 0.00 0 per month 1.14 (0.05) 2.67 (1.64) 7.58 
TM9NorAm Drilling AS 0.00 0 per month 4.32 (0.01) 5.56 (6.43) 36.50 
INVNIdentiv 0.00 0 per month 2.57  0.02  5.61 (4.98) 14.01 
IUI1INTUITIVE SURGICAL 0.00 0 per month 1.08  0.08  2.87 (1.96) 10.01 
6HWBANK HANDLOWY 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.28) 1.21 (1.80) 5.39 

Chesapeake Utilities Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chesapeake price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chesapeake using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chesapeake charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Chesapeake Utilities Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Chesapeake Utilities stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chesapeake Utilities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chesapeake Utilities based on analysis of Chesapeake Utilities hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chesapeake Utilities's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chesapeake Utilities's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Chesapeake Utilities

The number of cover stories for Chesapeake Utilities depends on current market conditions and Chesapeake Utilities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chesapeake Utilities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chesapeake Utilities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Chesapeake Utilities Short Properties

Chesapeake Utilities' future price predictability will typically decrease when Chesapeake Utilities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chesapeake Utilities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chesapeake Utilities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chesapeake Utilities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.7 M
Dividends Paid35.1 M
Short Long Term Debt223.6 M

Complementary Tools for Chesapeake Stock analysis

When running Chesapeake Utilities' price analysis, check to measure Chesapeake Utilities' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chesapeake Utilities is operating at the current time. Most of Chesapeake Utilities' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chesapeake Utilities' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chesapeake Utilities' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chesapeake Utilities to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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