China Senior Living Stock Price Prediction

CHYL Stock  USD 0.48  0.48  119,900%   
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of China Senior's share price is below 20 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of China Senior's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Senior and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Senior's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Senior Living, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using China Senior hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Senior Living from the perspective of China Senior response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Senior to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China Senior after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out China Senior Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Senior's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3074.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.64127.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.180.290.76
Details

China Senior After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China Senior at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Senior or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Senior, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

China Senior Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China Senior's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Senior's historical news coverage. China Senior's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 74.48, respectively. We have considered China Senior's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.48
0.48
After-hype Price
74.48
Upside
China Senior is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Senior Living is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Senior Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Senior is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Senior backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Senior, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  14.29 
126.81
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.48
0.48
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

China Senior Hype Timeline

China Senior Living is currently traded for 0.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. China is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 14.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Senior is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.48. About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Senior Living last dividend was issued on the 3rd of July 2007. The entity had 1:10 split on the 15th of June 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out China Senior Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China Senior Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Senior's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Senior's future price movements. Getting to know how China Senior's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Senior may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

China Senior Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China Senior Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China Senior stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Senior Living, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Senior based on analysis of China Senior hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Senior's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Senior's related companies.

Story Coverage note for China Senior

The number of cover stories for China Senior depends on current market conditions and China Senior's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Senior is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Senior's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in China Pink Sheet

China Senior financial ratios help investors to determine whether China Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in China with respect to the benefits of owning China Senior security.