Chimera Investment Stock Price Prediction
| CIM Stock | USD 12.96 0.07 0.54% |
Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5107 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.7598 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0672 | Wall Street Target Price 14.5 |
Using Chimera Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chimera Investment from the perspective of Chimera Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chimera Investment using Chimera Investment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chimera using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chimera Investment's stock price.
Chimera Investment Short Interest
An investor who is long Chimera Investment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Chimera Investment and may potentially protect profits, hedge Chimera Investment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.1641 | Short Percent 0.0216 | Short Ratio 2.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 12.7106 |
Chimera Investment Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Chimera Investment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chimera. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chimera can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chimera Investment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chimera Investment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chimera Investment.
Chimera Investment Implied Volatility | 0.74 |
Chimera Investment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chimera Investment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chimera Investment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chimera Investment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chimera Investment's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chimera Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chimera because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Chimera Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 12.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Chimera contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Chimera Investment will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0463% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Chimera Investment trading at USD 12.96, that is roughly USD 0.005994 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Chimera Investment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Chimera Investment options at the current volatility level of 0.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Chimera Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Chimera Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Chimera Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chimera Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chimera Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Chimera Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Chimera Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chimera Investment's historical news coverage. Chimera Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.03 and 14.77, respectively. We have considered Chimera Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Chimera Investment is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chimera Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Chimera Investment Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chimera Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chimera Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chimera Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.87 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.96 | 12.90 | 0.08 |
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Chimera Investment Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January Chimera Investment is traded for 12.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Chimera is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.9 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on Chimera Investment is about 4104.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.96. The company reported the last year's revenue of 257.93 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 176.06 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 162.52 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Chimera Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Chimera Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Chimera Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chimera Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Chimera Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chimera Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TWO | Two Harbors Investments | 0.23 | 11 per month | 1.14 | 0.19 | 5.62 | (2.25) | 17.70 | |
| MFA | MFA Financial | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.77 | 0.11 | 2.36 | (1.38) | 6.46 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.19 | 8 per month | 0.76 | 0.21 | 2.36 | (1.76) | 8.01 | |
| ORC | Orchid Island Capital | 0.03 | 10 per month | 0.75 | 0.15 | 2.36 | (1.40) | 4.83 | |
| ARR | ARMOUR Residential REIT | (0.15) | 9 per month | 0.88 | 0.17 | 2.17 | (1.61) | 6.26 | |
| NYMT | NYMT Old | 0.26 | 7 per month | 1.64 | 0.05 | 2.82 | (2.47) | 8.91 | |
| AGNC | AGNC Investment Corp | (0.03) | 11 per month | 0.47 | 0.24 | 1.97 | (1.23) | 4.40 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | 0.1 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.39 | (4.81) | 14.04 | |
| NLY | Annaly Capital Management | (0.26) | 10 per month | 0.61 | 0.19 | 2.39 | (1.37) | 5.24 |
Chimera Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Chimera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chimera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chimera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Chimera Investment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Chimera Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chimera Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chimera Investment based on analysis of Chimera Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chimera Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chimera Investment's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.08 | 0.45 | 0.52 | 0.49 | Dividend Yield | 0.0902 | 0.2 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Chimera Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Chimera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Chimera Investment guide.You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector continue expanding? Could Chimera diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chimera Investment. Projected growth potential of Chimera fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Chimera Investment data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | Dividend Share 1.48 | Earnings Share (0.39) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.76) |
Chimera Investment's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Chimera's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Chimera Investment's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Chimera Investment's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Chimera Investment's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Chimera Investment should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Chimera Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.