Chimera Investment Stock Price Prediction

CIM Stock  USD 14.66  0.04  0.27%   
As of now, the RSI of Chimera Investment's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Chimera Investment, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chimera Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Chimera Investment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Chimera Investment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chimera Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chimera Investment's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.8
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.47
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5155
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.698
Wall Street Target Price
16
Using Chimera Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chimera Investment from the perspective of Chimera Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chimera Investment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chimera because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Chimera Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Chimera Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Chimera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Chimera Investment guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.0410.3916.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.2214.5715.93
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.235.756.38
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.380.380.38
Details

Chimera Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chimera Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chimera Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chimera Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chimera Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chimera Investment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chimera Investment's historical news coverage. Chimera Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.31 and 16.01, respectively. We have considered Chimera Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.66
14.66
After-hype Price
16.01
Upside
Chimera Investment is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chimera Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chimera Investment Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chimera Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chimera Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chimera Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
1.35
 0.00  
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.66
14.66
0.00 
1,038  
Notes

Chimera Investment Hype Timeline

On the 25th of November Chimera Investment is traded for 14.66. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chimera is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chimera Investment is about 2250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.66. About 57.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.43. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Chimera Investment last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. The entity had 1:3 split on the 22nd of May 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Chimera Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Chimera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Chimera Investment guide.

Chimera Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chimera Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chimera Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Chimera Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chimera Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TWOTwo Harbors Investments(0.13)8 per month 0.00 (0.23) 1.56 (2.21) 8.41 
MFAMFA Financial(0.02)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.73 (2.53) 9.82 
IVRInvesco Mortgage Capital 0.25 8 per month 1.50 (0.08) 1.85 (2.89) 6.35 
ORCOrchid Island Capital(0.13)9 per month 1.38 (0.09) 1.66 (2.11) 6.35 
ARRARMOUR Residential REIT(0.12)10 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.47 (2.02) 4.86 
NYMTNew York Mortgage 0.15 7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.48 (3.32) 7.18 
AGNCAGNC Investment Corp 0.03 10 per month 1.28 (0.11) 1.49 (2.10) 5.49 
ABRArbor Realty Trust(0.46)8 per month 1.25  0.05  2.38 (2.19) 6.99 
NLYAnnaly Capital Management(0.11)10 per month 1.12 (0.08) 1.60 (1.77) 4.59 

Chimera Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chimera price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chimera using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chimera charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Chimera Investment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Chimera Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chimera Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chimera Investment based on analysis of Chimera Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chimera Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chimera Investment's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Chimera Investment

The number of cover stories for Chimera Investment depends on current market conditions and Chimera Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chimera Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chimera Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Chimera Investment Short Properties

Chimera Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chimera Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chimera Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chimera Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chimera Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding77.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments221.7 M
When determining whether Chimera Investment offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Chimera Investment's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Chimera Investment Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Chimera Investment Stock:
Check out Chimera Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Chimera Stock, please use our How to Invest in Chimera Investment guide.
You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Chimera Investment. If investors know Chimera will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Chimera Investment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.8
Dividend Share
1.38
Earnings Share
3.33
Revenue Per Share
5.548
Quarterly Revenue Growth
5.903
The market value of Chimera Investment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Chimera that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Chimera Investment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Chimera Investment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Chimera Investment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Chimera Investment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Chimera Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Chimera Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Chimera Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.