Colgate Palmolive Stock Price Prediction
| CL Stock | USD 94.87 0.62 0.66% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.049 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.91 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.59 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.8624 | Wall Street Target Price 105.2323 |
Using Colgate Palmolive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Colgate Palmolive from the perspective of Colgate Palmolive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Colgate Palmolive Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Colgate Palmolive's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Colgate. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Colgate can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Colgate Palmolive. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Colgate Palmolive's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Colgate Palmolive.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Colgate Palmolive to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Colgate because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Colgate Palmolive after-hype prediction price | USD 94.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Colgate |
Colgate Palmolive After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Colgate Palmolive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Colgate Palmolive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Colgate Palmolive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Colgate Palmolive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Colgate Palmolive's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Colgate Palmolive's historical news coverage. Colgate Palmolive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.19 and 95.45, respectively. We have considered Colgate Palmolive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Colgate Palmolive is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Colgate Palmolive is based on 3 months time horizon.
Colgate Palmolive Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Colgate Palmolive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Colgate Palmolive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Colgate Palmolive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.13 | 0.07 | 0.11 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
94.87 | 94.32 | 0.07 |
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Colgate Palmolive Hype Timeline
As of November 22, 2024 Colgate Palmolive is listed for 94.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Colgate is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 94.32 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Colgate Palmolive is about 169.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 94.76. The company generated the yearly revenue of 19.46 B. Reported Net Income was 2.3 B with gross profit of 10.25 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Colgate Palmolive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Colgate Palmolive Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Colgate Palmolive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Colgate Palmolive's future price movements. Getting to know how Colgate Palmolive's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Colgate Palmolive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EHGO | Eshallgo Class A | 0.09 | 1 per month | 4.97 | 0.17 | 14.29 | (8.22) | 46.99 | |
| ASYS | Amtech Systems | (0.14) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.76 | (4.33) | 10.29 | |
| GFI | Gold Fields Ltd | (0.46) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.52 | (5.41) | 14.93 | |
| AGZNF | Aegean Airlines SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.55 | |
| LPG | Dorian LPG | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 2.97 | (4.58) | 9.93 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | (1.61) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.73 | (2.13) | 4.89 | |
| FORM | FormFactor | (0.44) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.53 | (5.08) | 19.85 | |
| CNK | Cinemark Holdings | 0.08 | 12 per month | 1.24 | 0.09 | 3.60 | (2.45) | 7.52 | |
| MDGL | Madrigal Pharmaceuticals | (3.37) | 10 per month | 2.17 | 0.08 | 4.92 | (3.96) | 30.27 | |
| AE | Adams Resources Energy | (0.84) | 8 per month | 0.72 | 0.16 | 4.83 | (2.27) | 35.75 |
Colgate Palmolive Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Colgate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Colgate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Colgate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Colgate Palmolive Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Colgate Palmolive stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Colgate Palmolive, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Colgate Palmolive based on analysis of Colgate Palmolive hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Colgate Palmolive's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Colgate Palmolive's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.021 | 0.0236 | 0.0265 | 0.0176 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.14 | 3.67 | 3.39 | 2.05 |
Story Coverage note for Colgate Palmolive
The number of cover stories for Colgate Palmolive depends on current market conditions and Colgate Palmolive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Colgate Palmolive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Colgate Palmolive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Colgate Palmolive Short Properties
Colgate Palmolive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Colgate Palmolive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Colgate Palmolive often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Colgate Palmolive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colgate Palmolive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 829.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Check out Colgate Palmolive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Colgate Stock please use our How to buy in Colgate Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Household Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Colgate Palmolive. If investors know Colgate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Colgate Palmolive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.049 | Dividend Share 1.96 | Earnings Share 3.48 | Revenue Per Share 24.493 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.024 |
The market value of Colgate Palmolive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Colgate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Colgate Palmolive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Colgate Palmolive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Colgate Palmolive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Colgate Palmolive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Colgate Palmolive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Colgate Palmolive is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Colgate Palmolive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.