Clearfield Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 27.05 36.48 39.10 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 24.67 27.29 29.91 Details

4 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 40.95 45.00 49.95 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High -0.32 -0.32 -0.32 Details

Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Clearfield. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Clearfield's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Clearfield's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Clearfield.

Clearfield After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Clearfield Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Clearfield Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.31	2.62	0.15	0.42	7 Events / Month	6 Events / Month	In about 7 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
30.06	30.21	0.50	534.69   Notes

Clearfield Hype Timeline

Clearfield is currently traded for 30.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.42. Clearfield is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 30.21 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.5%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Clearfield is about 193.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 30.48. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 166.71 M. Net Loss for the year was (12.45 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 112.95 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Clearfield Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Clearfield Stock refer to our How to Trade Clearfield Stock guide.

Clearfield Related Hype Analysis

Clearfield Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Clearfield price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Clearfield using various technical indicators. When you analyze Clearfield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Clearfield stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Clearfield, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Clearfield based on analysis of Clearfield hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Clearfield depends on current market conditions and Clearfield's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Clearfield is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Clearfield's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Clearfield's future price predictability will typically decrease when Clearfield's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Clearfield often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Clearfield's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Clearfield's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

When running Clearfield's price analysis, check to measure Clearfield's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Clearfield is operating at the current time. Most of Clearfield's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Clearfield's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Clearfield's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Clearfield to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.