Exchange Traded Concepts Etf Price Patterns
| COAL Etf | 25.65 0.60 2.29% |
Momentum 69
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Exchange Traded hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Exchange Traded Concepts from the perspective of Exchange Traded response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Exchange Traded using Exchange Traded's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Exchange using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Exchange Traded's stock price.
Exchange Traded Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
Exchange Traded's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Exchange Traded Concepts stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Exchange Traded's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Exchange Traded stock will not fluctuate a lot when Exchange Traded's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Exchange Traded to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Exchange because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Exchange Traded after-hype prediction price | USD 25.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Exchange contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Exchange Traded Concepts will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Exchange Traded trading at USD 25.65, that is roughly USD 0.008497 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Exchange Traded's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Exchange Traded Concepts options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Exchange | Build AI portfolio with Exchange Etf |
Exchange Traded After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Exchange Traded at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Exchange Traded or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Exchange Traded, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Exchange Traded Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Exchange Traded's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Exchange Traded's historical news coverage. Exchange Traded's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.02 and 27.52, respectively. We have considered Exchange Traded's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Exchange Traded is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Exchange Traded Concepts is based on 3 months time horizon.
Exchange Traded Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Exchange Traded is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Exchange Traded backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Exchange Traded, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.75 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 13 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.65 | 25.77 | 0.47 |
|
Exchange Traded Hype Timeline
Exchange Traded Concepts is currently traded for 25.65. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Exchange is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 25.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.47%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Exchange Traded is about 829.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.72. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Exchange Traded Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Exchange Traded Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Exchange Traded's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Exchange Traded's future price movements. Getting to know how Exchange Traded's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Exchange Traded may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COPJ | Sprott Junior Copper | 0.56 | 3 per month | 2.65 | 0.19 | 4.83 | (3.99) | 15.83 | |
| AVNV | American Century ETF | 0.67 | 2 per month | 0.50 | 0.24 | 1.55 | (1.19) | 3.81 | |
| AAVM | Alpha Architect Global | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.48 | 0.18 | 1.55 | (1.29) | 3.14 | |
| OTGL | OTG Latin America | 0.02 | 3 per month | 1.08 | 0.14 | 2.13 | (2.09) | 5.62 | |
| FORH | Formidable ETF | (0.01) | 6 per month | 0.77 | (0.01) | 1.39 | (1.36) | 3.84 | |
| DIEM | Franklin Templeton ETF | 0.05 | 2 per month | 0.29 | 0.20 | 1.87 | (1.14) | 3.74 | |
| PJFV | PGIM ETF Trust | 0.34 | 2 per month | 0.65 | 0.07 | 1.22 | (1.06) | 3.56 | |
| AUMI | Themes Gold Miners | 0.20 | 1 per month | 3.17 | 0.12 | 5.56 | (5.89) | 20.64 | |
| NDIV | Amplify ETF Trust | 0.28 | 1 per month | 0.96 | 0.17 | 2.02 | (2.13) | 4.92 | |
| RAYC | Rayliant Asset Management | (0.04) | 2 per month | 0.88 | 0.03 | 1.81 | (1.18) | 7.60 |
Exchange Traded Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Exchange price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Exchange using various technical indicators. When you analyze Exchange charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Exchange Traded Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Exchange Traded stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Exchange Traded Concepts, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Exchange Traded based on analysis of Exchange Traded hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Exchange Traded's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Exchange Traded's related companies.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Exchange Traded Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
The market value of Exchange Traded Concepts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Exchange that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Exchange Traded's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Exchange Traded's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Exchange Traded's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Exchange Traded's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Exchange Traded's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Exchange Traded should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Exchange Traded's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.