Commscope Holding Co Stock Price Prediction
| COMM Stock | USD 4.38 0.04 0.92% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.1055 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.7351 | Wall Street Target Price 3.7 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.31 |
Using CommScope Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CommScope Holding Co from the perspective of CommScope Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
CommScope Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CommScope Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CommScope. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CommScope can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CommScope Holding Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CommScope Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CommScope Holding.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CommScope Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CommScope because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CommScope Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 4.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
CommScope |
CommScope Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CommScope Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CommScope Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CommScope Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CommScope Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CommScope Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CommScope Holding's historical news coverage. CommScope Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.22 and 9.73, respectively. We have considered CommScope Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CommScope Holding is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CommScope Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
CommScope Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CommScope Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CommScope Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CommScope Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.15 | 5.35 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.38 | 4.38 | 0.00 |
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CommScope Holding Hype Timeline
CommScope Holding is currently traded for 4.38. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. CommScope is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on CommScope Holding is about 5944.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.37. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.28. CommScope Holding recorded a loss per share of 2.96. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 996:1000 split on the 27th of December 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out CommScope Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CommScope Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CommScope Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CommScope Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how CommScope Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CommScope Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DZSI | DZS Inc | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 8.73 | (20.00) | 63.79 | |
| HLIT | Harmonic | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.07 | (4.23) | 30.13 | |
| NTGR | NETGEAR | 0.40 | 10 per month | 1.60 | 0.13 | 5.28 | (3.74) | 34.60 | |
| CMTL | Comtech Telecommunications Corp | (0.72) | 10 per month | 6.37 | 0 | 12.63 | (7.40) | 40.77 | |
| ADTN | ADTRAN Inc | 0.15 | 10 per month | 1.73 | 0.16 | 6.31 | (3.34) | 22.03 | |
| CASA | Casa Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.57 | (0.02) | 9.09 | (6.40) | 38.27 | |
| DGII | Digi International | (0.92) | 7 per month | 1.71 | 0.02 | 3.54 | (3.10) | 11.66 | |
| KVHI | KVH Industries | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.05 | 4.42 | (2.92) | 10.42 | |
| EXTR | Extreme Networks | (0.58) | 10 per month | 2.13 | (0) | 3.95 | (3.30) | 18.17 | |
| AVNW | Aviat Networks | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.64 | (5.01) | 52.00 | |
| CIEN | Ciena Corp | 0.66 | 13 per month | 1.76 | 0.11 | 4.13 | (3.63) | 12.09 |
CommScope Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CommScope price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CommScope using various technical indicators. When you analyze CommScope charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CommScope Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CommScope Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CommScope Holding Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CommScope Holding based on analysis of CommScope Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CommScope Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CommScope Holding's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0191 | 0.009774 | 0.0112 | 0.0107 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.26 | 0.17 | 0.1 | 0.0976 |
Story Coverage note for CommScope Holding
The number of cover stories for CommScope Holding depends on current market conditions and CommScope Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CommScope Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CommScope Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
CommScope Holding Short Properties
CommScope Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when CommScope Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CommScope Holding Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CommScope Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CommScope Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 543.8 M |
Check out CommScope Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Communications Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CommScope Holding. If investors know CommScope will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CommScope Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.96) | Revenue Per Share 24.277 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.027 | Return On Assets 0.0343 | Return On Equity (18.38) |
The market value of CommScope Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CommScope that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CommScope Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CommScope Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CommScope Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CommScope Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CommScope Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CommScope Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CommScope Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.