Curis Inc Stock Price Prediction

CRIS Stock  USD 4.03  0.08  1.95%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Curis' share price is below 30 at this time suggesting that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Curis Inc, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

29

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Curis' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Curis and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Curis' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Curis Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Curis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Curis Inc from the perspective of Curis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Curis to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Curis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Curis after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Curis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.396.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.014.447.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.994.064.13
Details

Curis After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Curis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Curis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Curis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Curis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Curis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Curis' historical news coverage. Curis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.60 and 7.46, respectively. We have considered Curis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.03
4.03
After-hype Price
7.46
Upside
Curis is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Curis Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Curis Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Curis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Curis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Curis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.43 
3.43
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.03
4.03
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Curis Hype Timeline

Curis Inc is currently traded for 4.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Curis is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on Curis is about 10760.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.02. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Curis was currently reported as 3.34. The company recorded a loss per share of 7.92. Curis Inc last dividend was issued on the 30th of May 2018. The entity had 1:5 split on the 30th of May 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Curis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Curis Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Curis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Curis' future price movements. Getting to know how Curis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Curis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALRNAileron Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 4.66  0.03  8.06 (7.99) 41.47 
ARTLArtelo Biosciences 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 7.83 (7.75) 26.32 
HSTOHistogen 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.76 (4.55) 131.40 
TMBRTimber Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
XFORX4 Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.90 (10.61) 62.35 
MREOMereo BioPharma Group 0.02 8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 4.80 (6.31) 17.36 
INZYInozyme Pharma(0.03)8 per month 0.00 (0.33) 5.07 (7.92) 16.62 
TERNTerns Pharmaceuticals 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 5.68 (5.96) 34.09 
LPTXLeap Therapeutics 0.05 4 per month 4.32 (0.02) 11.08 (7.03) 25.59 
DAWNDay One Biopharmaceuticals 0.23 9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.84 (3.69) 11.44 
PDSBPDS Biotechnology Corp 0.10 10 per month 0.00 (0.13) 7.67 (6.76) 31.83 
ADAPAdaptimmune Therapeutics Plc(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.23) 5.56 (6.00) 32.97 
PIRSPieris Pharmaceuticals(0.36)5 per month 0.00 (0.1) 3.23 (3.40) 12.92 
AFMDAffimed NV 0.42 8 per month 0.00 (0.15) 7.25 (6.82) 21.26 
CRVSCorvus Pharmaceuticals(0.88)7 per month 2.98  0.23  9.38 (4.88) 23.11 
APTOAptose Biosciences(0.05)7 per month 0.00 (0.21) 5.41 (7.69) 33.33 

Curis Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Curis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Curis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Curis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Curis Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Curis stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Curis Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Curis based on analysis of Curis hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Curis's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Curis's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Curis

The number of cover stories for Curis depends on current market conditions and Curis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Curis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Curis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Curis Short Properties

Curis' future price predictability will typically decrease when Curis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Curis Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Curis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Curis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments56.3 M

Additional Tools for Curis Stock Analysis

When running Curis' price analysis, check to measure Curis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Curis is operating at the current time. Most of Curis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Curis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Curis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Curis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.