Crowdstrike Holdings Stock Price Prediction

CRWD Stock  USD 363.68  8.58  2.30%   
The relative strength indicator of Crowdstrike Holdings' share price is above 70 at the present time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Crowdstrike, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Crowdstrike Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Crowdstrike Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Crowdstrike Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Crowdstrike Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Crowdstrike Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.333
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.95
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.75
Wall Street Target Price
339.0669
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.97
Using Crowdstrike Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crowdstrike Holdings from the perspective of Crowdstrike Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Crowdstrike Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Crowdstrike Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Crowdstrike. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Crowdstrike can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Crowdstrike Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Crowdstrike Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Crowdstrike Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Crowdstrike Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Crowdstrike because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Crowdstrike Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 373.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Crowdstrike Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Crowdstrike Stock refer to our How to Trade Crowdstrike Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crowdstrike Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
297.67300.10409.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
369.74372.17374.61
Details
53 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
179.82197.60219.34
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.790.810.86
Details

Crowdstrike Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Crowdstrike Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crowdstrike Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Crowdstrike Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Crowdstrike Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Crowdstrike Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crowdstrike Holdings' historical news coverage. Crowdstrike Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 371.42 and 376.28, respectively. We have considered Crowdstrike Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
363.68
371.42
Downside
373.85
After-hype Price
376.28
Upside
Crowdstrike Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crowdstrike Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Crowdstrike Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Crowdstrike Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crowdstrike Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crowdstrike Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.50 
2.46
  1.50 
  0.04 
8 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
363.68
373.85
0.43 
82.00  
Notes

Crowdstrike Holdings Hype Timeline

Crowdstrike Holdings is currently traded for 363.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Crowdstrike is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 373.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 82.0%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.43%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on Crowdstrike Holdings is about 3514.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 363.72. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 3.06 B. Net Income was 89.33 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.64 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Crowdstrike Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Crowdstrike Stock refer to our How to Trade Crowdstrike Stock guide.

Crowdstrike Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Crowdstrike Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crowdstrike Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Crowdstrike Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crowdstrike Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GCTGigaCloud Technology Class(0.53)8 per month 4.91  0.05  9.70 (7.70) 30.15 
ARQQArqit Quantum 1.15 3 per month 7.96  0.09  24.01 (13.79) 58.48 
TLSTelos Corp(0.39)9 per month 3.76 (0.02) 7.85 (5.90) 25.89 
CETXCemtrex 0.12 6 per month 0.00 (0.41) 10.53 (33.80) 57.84 
AUIDauthID Inc(0.37)10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 8.74 (8.74) 29.47 
DTSSDatasea 0.00 6 per month 7.14  0.07  11.40 (9.20) 61.49 
PRTHPriority Technology Holdings 0.58 10 per month 3.28  0.14  11.49 (5.60) 22.62 
DROPFuse Science 0.00 0 per month 12.49  0.09  36.54 (23.08) 171.33 

Crowdstrike Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Crowdstrike price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crowdstrike using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crowdstrike charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Crowdstrike Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Crowdstrike Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Crowdstrike Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crowdstrike Holdings based on analysis of Crowdstrike Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Crowdstrike Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Crowdstrike Holdings's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover8.0513.2526.8220.34
Days Of Inventory On Hand120.79113.44102.0996.01

Story Coverage note for Crowdstrike Holdings

The number of cover stories for Crowdstrike Holdings depends on current market conditions and Crowdstrike Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crowdstrike Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crowdstrike Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Crowdstrike Holdings Short Properties

Crowdstrike Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Crowdstrike Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crowdstrike Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crowdstrike Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crowdstrike Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding243.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.5 B

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When running Crowdstrike Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Crowdstrike Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crowdstrike Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Crowdstrike Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crowdstrike Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crowdstrike Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crowdstrike Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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